Péter Magyar's commanding 98.7% implied probability as Hungary's next prime minister stems from his Tisza party's landslide victory in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly amid record voter turnout and widespread dissatisfaction with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz rule. Orbán conceded defeat shortly after polls closed, with over 98% of votes counted confirming Tisza's dominance. Recent developments include Magyar's meetings with the president, who assured a swift power transition and early May convening of the new parliament. While formal appointment and government formation remain procedural steps, challenges like recounts or legal disputes appear remote given the margin, though late-breaking institutional hurdles could theoretically shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트페테르 머지아르 98.6%
빅토르 오르반 <1%
클라라 도브레브 <1%
라슬로 토로츠카이 <1%
$90,918,285 거래량
$90,918,285 거래량
2026.04.12
페테르 머지아르
99%
빅토르 오르반
<1%
클라라 도브레브
<1%
라슬로 토로츠카이
<1%
이스트반 카피타니
<1%
야노시 라자르
<1%
페테르 머지아르 98.6%
빅토르 오르반 <1%
클라라 도브레브 <1%
라슬로 토로츠카이 <1%
$90,918,285 거래량
$90,918,285 거래량
2026.04.12
페테르 머지아르
$21,001,398 거래량
99%
빅토르 오르반
$24,251,514 거래량
<1%
클라라 도브레브
$6,155,470 거래량
<1%
라슬로 토로츠카이
$13,741,972 거래량
<1%
이스트반 카피타니
$16,556,170 거래량
<1%
야노시 라자르
$9,247,726 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's commanding 98.7% implied probability as Hungary's next prime minister stems from his Tisza party's landslide victory in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly amid record voter turnout and widespread dissatisfaction with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz rule. Orbán conceded defeat shortly after polls closed, with over 98% of votes counted confirming Tisza's dominance. Recent developments include Magyar's meetings with the president, who assured a swift power transition and early May convening of the new parliament. While formal appointment and government formation remain procedural steps, challenges like recounts or legal disputes appear remote given the margin, though late-breaking institutional hurdles could theoretically shift dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET
거래량
$90,918,285종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's commanding 98.7% implied probability as Hungary's next prime minister stems from his Tisza party's landslide victory in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly amid record voter turnout and widespread dissatisfaction with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz rule. Orbán conceded defeat shortly after polls closed, with over 98% of votes counted confirming Tisza's dominance. Recent developments include Magyar's meetings with the president, who assured a swift power transition and early May convening of the new parliament. While formal appointment and government formation remain procedural steps, challenges like recounts or legal disputes appear remote given the margin, though late-breaking institutional hurdles could theoretically shift dynamics.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$90,918,285종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Péter Magyar's commanding 98.7% implied probability as Hungary's next prime minister stems from his Tisza party's landslide victory in the April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, securing a supermajority in the 199-seat National Assembly amid record voter turnout and widespread dissatisfaction with Viktor Orbán's 16-year Fidesz rule. Orbán conceded defeat shortly after polls closed, with over 98% of votes counted confirming Tisza's dominance. Recent developments include Magyar's meetings with the president, who assured a swift power transition and early May convening of the new parliament. While formal appointment and government formation remain procedural steps, challenges like recounts or legal disputes appear remote given the margin, though late-breaking institutional hurdles could theoretically shift dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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