Trader consensus strongly favors 70-75% turnout at 82% implied probability for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, reflecting historical trends of declining participation—76% in 2021 amid pandemic effects and 81% in 2016—now pressured lower by unprecedented logistical breakdowns. Ballot delivery failures and hours-long delays at urban polling stations, especially in Lima, prevented tens of thousands from voting initially, necessitating extensions into April 13 and sparking protests over integrity. Despite exit polls from Ipsos indicating over 81% participation, ongoing ONPE vote counting as of April 16 has yet to release official turnout, with disruptions likely capping effective voter access below recent averages and well shy of mandatory voting ideals. A June 7 runoff looms if no candidate secures a first-round majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트70-75% 83.7%
75-80% 12%
80~85% 3.7%
70% 미만 1.2%
$125,988 거래량
$125,988 거래량
2026.04.12
70% 미만
1%
70-75%
84%
75-80%
12%
80~85%
4%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 83.7%
75-80% 12%
80~85% 3.7%
70% 미만 1.2%
$125,988 거래량
$125,988 거래량
2026.04.12
70% 미만
$18,854 거래량
1%
70-75%
$35,239 거래량
84%
75-80%
$19,558 거래량
12%
80~85%
$44,515 거래량
4%
> 85%
$8,030 거래량
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus strongly favors 70-75% turnout at 82% implied probability for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, reflecting historical trends of declining participation—76% in 2021 amid pandemic effects and 81% in 2016—now pressured lower by unprecedented logistical breakdowns. Ballot delivery failures and hours-long delays at urban polling stations, especially in Lima, prevented tens of thousands from voting initially, necessitating extensions into April 13 and sparking protests over integrity. Despite exit polls from Ipsos indicating over 81% participation, ongoing ONPE vote counting as of April 16 has yet to release official turnout, with disruptions likely capping effective voter access below recent averages and well shy of mandatory voting ideals. A June 7 runoff looms if no candidate secures a first-round majority.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
거래량
$125,988종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Trader consensus strongly favors 70-75% turnout at 82% implied probability for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, reflecting historical trends of declining participation—76% in 2021 amid pandemic effects and 81% in 2016—now pressured lower by unprecedented logistical breakdowns. Ballot delivery failures and hours-long delays at urban polling stations, especially in Lima, prevented tens of thousands from voting initially, necessitating extensions into April 13 and sparking protests over integrity. Despite exit polls from Ipsos indicating over 81% participation, ongoing ONPE vote counting as of April 16 has yet to release official turnout, with disruptions likely capping effective voter access below recent averages and well shy of mandatory voting ideals. A June 7 runoff looms if no candidate secures a first-round majority.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
거래량
$125,988종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors 70-75% turnout at 82% implied probability for Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, reflecting historical trends of declining participation—76% in 2021 amid pandemic effects and 81% in 2016—now pressured lower by unprecedented logistical breakdowns. Ballot delivery failures and hours-long delays at urban polling stations, especially in Lima, prevented tens of thousands from voting initially, necessitating extensions into April 13 and sparking protests over integrity. Despite exit polls from Ipsos indicating over 81% participation, ongoing ONPE vote counting as of April 16 has yet to release official turnout, with disruptions likely capping effective voter access below recent averages and well shy of mandatory voting ideals. A June 7 runoff looms if no candidate secures a first-round majority.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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