Logistical chaos marred Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, with polling delays, ballot shortages, and power outages—especially in Lima, representing 30% of the 27 million registered voters—suppressing turnout and anchoring trader consensus at 70-75% (85%). Compulsory voting typically yields high participation, as in 2021's 76% first round, but widespread disillusionment from a decade of political instability, eight presidents, and a fragmented field of 35 candidates fueled apathy. Ipsos exit polls estimated over 81%, yet partial ONPE actas (over 90% processed as of April 16) and urban low-afluencia reports suggest an official figure nearer 72-74%, explaining secondary pricing in 75-80% (7.5%) and 80-85% (6%). Full certification by the National Jury of Elections will resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트70-75% 82.9%
75-80% 8%
80~85% 6.0%
70% 미만 1.1%
$123,685 거래량
$123,685 거래량
70% 미만
1%
70-75%
83%
75-80%
8%
80~85%
6%
> 85%
1%
70-75% 82.9%
75-80% 8%
80~85% 6.0%
70% 미만 1.1%
$123,685 거래량
$123,685 거래량
70% 미만
1%
70-75%
83%
75-80%
8%
80~85%
6%
> 85%
1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Logistical chaos marred Peru's April 12-13 presidential first-round election, with polling delays, ballot shortages, and power outages—especially in Lima, representing 30% of the 27 million registered voters—suppressing turnout and anchoring trader consensus at 70-75% (85%). Compulsory voting typically yields high participation, as in 2021's 76% first round, but widespread disillusionment from a decade of political instability, eight presidents, and a fragmented field of 35 candidates fueled apathy. Ipsos exit polls estimated over 81%, yet partial ONPE actas (over 90% processed as of April 16) and urban low-afluencia reports suggest an official figure nearer 72-74%, explaining secondary pricing in 75-80% (7.5%) and 80-85% (6%). Full certification by the National Jury of Elections will resolve the market.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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