Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her first-round victory in the April 12-13 general election, where quick counts show her at around 17% in a fragmented field of 35 candidates, securing her spot in the June 7 runoff. Logistical delays, including ballot shortages that extended voting into a second day, have slowed official tallies to under 40% as of April 15, with a tight race for second between right-wing Rafael López Aliaga (17.5% market odds) at ~17% and leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino (17.2%) gaining ground amid disputes and protests. Fujimori's edge stems from consistent pre-election polling dominance, strong name recognition, and appeal amid political instability, positioning her as the frontrunner against either rival in the runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트케이코 후지모리 65%
라파엘 로페스 알리가 18%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노 17.0%
카를로스 알바레스 <1%
$31,246,413 거래량
$31,246,413 거래량
케이코 후지모리
65%
라파엘 로페스 알리가
18%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
17%
카를로스 알바레스
<1%
세사르 아쿠냐
<1%
블라디미르 세론
<1%
로베르토 치아브라
<1%
엔리케 발데라마
<1%
메시아스 게바라
<1%
호르헤 니에토
<1%
마리오 비스카라
<1%
호세 루나
<1%
호세 윌리엄스
<1%
피오렐라 몰리넬리
<1%
페르난도 올리베라
<1%
욘히 레스카노
<1%
알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%
조지 포사이스
<1%
리카르도 벨몬트
<1%
카를로스 에스파
<1%
라파엘 벨라우데 요사
<1%
마리솔 페레스 텔로
<1%
볼프강 그로조
<1%
케이코 후지모리 65%
라파엘 로페스 알리가 18%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노 17.0%
카를로스 알바레스 <1%
$31,246,413 거래량
$31,246,413 거래량
케이코 후지모리
65%
라파엘 로페스 알리가
18%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
17%
카를로스 알바레스
<1%
세사르 아쿠냐
<1%
블라디미르 세론
<1%
로베르토 치아브라
<1%
엔리케 발데라마
<1%
메시아스 게바라
<1%
호르헤 니에토
<1%
마리오 비스카라
<1%
호세 루나
<1%
호세 윌리엄스
<1%
피오렐라 몰리넬리
<1%
페르난도 올리베라
<1%
욘히 레스카노
<1%
알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%
조지 포사이스
<1%
리카르도 벨몬트
<1%
카를로스 에스파
<1%
라파엘 벨라우데 요사
<1%
마리솔 페레스 텔로
<1%
볼프강 그로조
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her first-round victory in the April 12-13 general election, where quick counts show her at around 17% in a fragmented field of 35 candidates, securing her spot in the June 7 runoff. Logistical delays, including ballot shortages that extended voting into a second day, have slowed official tallies to under 40% as of April 15, with a tight race for second between right-wing Rafael López Aliaga (17.5% market odds) at ~17% and leftist Roberto Sánchez Palomino (17.2%) gaining ground amid disputes and protests. Fujimori's edge stems from consistent pre-election polling dominance, strong name recognition, and appeal amid political instability, positioning her as the frontrunner against either rival in the runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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