Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge at 19.1% in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, but recent polls show his support plunging amid a 21-point drop in net job approval from January 2025 to April 2026 per CNN data, allowing California Governor Gavin Newsom to close within 2 points at 17.1% and Senator Marco Rubio to surge to 11.8% on CPAC straw poll momentum where Vance still led with 53%. This tight field reflects pre-primary uncertainty, Democratic primary polling favoring Newsom in New Hampshire, and a fragmented roster of governors, senators, and outsiders. The 2026 midterms, incumbency dynamics from the Trump administration, and early scandal risks could widen gaps ahead of 2027 caucuses and primaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트JD 밴스 19.1%
개빈 뉴섬 17.0%
마코 루비오 11.8%
알렉산드리아 오카시오-코르테즈 5.0%
$528,155,206 거래량
$528,155,206 거래량
2028.11.07
4% 수익
JD 밴스
19%
개빈 뉴섬
17%
마코 루비오
12%
알렉산드리아 오카시오-코르테즈
5%
카말라 해리스
5%
존 오소프
4%
조쉬 샤피로
2%
도널드 트럼프
2%
피트 부티지지
2%
터커 칼슨
2%
론 드산티스
1%
드웨인 '더 록' 존슨
1%
앤디 버셰어
1%
글렌 영킨
1%
JB 프리츠커
1%
토마스 매시
1%
그레첸 휘트머
1%
제임스 탈라리코
1%
엘론 머스크
1%
그렉 애벗
1%
이방카 트럼프
1%
스티븐 스미스
1%
제이미 다이먼
1%
도널드 트럼프 주니어
1%
니키 헤일리
1%
미셸 오바마
1%
로 카나
1%
툴시 개버드
1%
조란 맘다니
1%
에릭 트럼프
1%
팀 왈즈
1%
웨스 무어
1%
피트 헥세스
1%
비벡 라마스와미
1%
킴 카다시안
1%
르브론 제임스
1%
JD 밴스 19.1%
개빈 뉴섬 17.0%
마코 루비오 11.8%
알렉산드리아 오카시오-코르테즈 5.0%
$528,155,206 거래량
$528,155,206 거래량
2028.11.07
4% 수익
JD 밴스
$10,315,240 거래량
19%
개빈 뉴섬
$14,776,564 거래량
17%
마코 루비오
$7,131,696 거래량
12%
알렉산드리아 오카시오-코르테즈
$10,920,932 거래량
5%
카말라 해리스
$7,035,501 거래량
5%
존 오소프
$3,593,840 거래량
4%
조쉬 샤피로
$5,811,150 거래량
2%
도널드 트럼프
$6,966,705 거래량
2%
피트 부티지지
$3,909,254 거래량
2%
터커 칼슨
$10,091,213 거래량
2%
론 드산티스
$9,249,909 거래량
1%
드웨인 '더 록' 존슨
$6,222,171 거래량
1%
앤디 버셰어
$17,513,543 거래량
1%
글렌 영킨
$20,839,874 거래량
1%
JB 프리츠커
$10,931,755 거래량
1%
토마스 매시
$3,793,590 거래량
1%
그레첸 휘트머
$8,835,558 거래량
1%
제임스 탈라리코
$4,747,233 거래량
1%
엘론 머스크
$22,840,714 거래량
1%
그렉 애벗
$32,107,157 거래량
1%
이방카 트럼프
$4,834,770 거래량
1%
스티븐 스미스
$29,900,657 거래량
1%
제이미 다이먼
$7,674,978 거래량
1%
도널드 트럼프 주니어
$9,562,209 거래량
1%
니키 헤일리
$22,384,554 거래량
1%
미셸 오바마
$13,695,977 거래량
1%
로 카나
$7,311,066 거래량
1%
툴시 개버드
$28,489,611 거래량
1%
조란 맘다니
$17,765,668 거래량
1%
에릭 트럼프
$6,832,925 거래량
1%
팀 왈즈
$39,787,518 거래량
1%
웨스 무어
$6,748,848 거래량
1%
피트 헥세스
$4,656,985 거래량
1%
비벡 라마스와미
$31,165,816 거래량
1%
킴 카다시안
$33,053,343 거래량
1%
르브론 제임스
$46,658,407 거래량
1%
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge at 19.1% in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, but recent polls show his support plunging amid a 21-point drop in net job approval from January 2025 to April 2026 per CNN data, allowing California Governor Gavin Newsom to close within 2 points at 17.1% and Senator Marco Rubio to surge to 11.8% on CPAC straw poll momentum where Vance still led with 53%. This tight field reflects pre-primary uncertainty, Democratic primary polling favoring Newsom in New Hampshire, and a fragmented roster of governors, senators, and outsiders. The 2026 midterms, incumbency dynamics from the Trump administration, and early scandal risks could widen gaps ahead of 2027 caucuses and primaries.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
마켓 개설일: Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
거래량
$528,155,206종료일
2028.11.07마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge at 19.1% in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, but recent polls show his support plunging amid a 21-point drop in net job approval from January 2025 to April 2026 per CNN data, allowing California Governor Gavin Newsom to close within 2 points at 17.1% and Senator Marco Rubio to surge to 11.8% on CPAC straw poll momentum where Vance still led with 53%. This tight field reflects pre-primary uncertainty, Democratic primary polling favoring Newsom in New Hampshire, and a fragmented roster of governors, senators, and outsiders. The 2026 midterms, incumbency dynamics from the Trump administration, and early scandal risks could widen gaps ahead of 2027 caucuses and primaries.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
거래량
$528,155,206종료일
2028.11.07마켓 개설일
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge at 19.1% in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election winner, but recent polls show his support plunging amid a 21-point drop in net job approval from January 2025 to April 2026 per CNN data, allowing California Governor Gavin Newsom to close within 2 points at 17.1% and Senator Marco Rubio to surge to 11.8% on CPAC straw poll momentum where Vance still led with 53%. This tight field reflects pre-primary uncertainty, Democratic primary polling favoring Newsom in New Hampshire, and a fragmented roster of governors, senators, and outsiders. The 2026 midterms, incumbency dynamics from the Trump administration, and early scandal risks could widen gaps ahead of 2027 caucuses and primaries.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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