Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 86% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff on April 19, driven by his first-round plurality of nearly 30% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 27%—and a commanding lead in the latest Ipsos-Ciesmori poll for Unitel (43.6% to Ritter's 34.7%, with 15% undecided). Velasco, a young entrepreneur from the Libre alliance, dominates urban Santa Cruz and intermediate cities, while Ritter of Santa Cruz Para Todos holds rural dispersa areas; votes from third-place finisher Luis Fernando Camacho (22%) appear tilting toward Velasco amid fragmented right-leaning opposition dynamics. A recent candidate debate underscored contrasts in profiles, but no major shifts reported in the past 48 hours, leaving Ritter's upset path narrow despite competitiveness in polls.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트후안 파블로 벨라스코 85.6%
오토 리터 14.1%
후안 카를로스 메드라노 <1%
마우리시오 케사다 <1%
$799,469 거래량
$799,469 거래량
후안 파블로 벨라스코
86%
오토 리터
14%
후안 카를로스 메드라노
<1%
마우리시오 케사다
<1%
정치현
<1%
훌리오 세사르 토르레스
<1%
귀도 에두아르도 나야르
<1%
미겔 카디마
<1%
블라디미르 페냐
<1%
루이스 페르난도 카마초
<1%
후안 파블로 벨라스코 85.6%
오토 리터 14.1%
후안 카를로스 메드라노 <1%
마우리시오 케사다 <1%
$799,469 거래량
$799,469 거래량
후안 파블로 벨라스코
86%
오토 리터
14%
후안 카를로스 메드라노
<1%
마우리시오 케사다
<1%
정치현
<1%
훌리오 세사르 토르레스
<1%
귀도 에두아르도 나야르
<1%
미겔 카디마
<1%
블라디미르 페냐
<1%
루이스 페르난도 카마초
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
마켓 개설일: Jan 20, 2026, 11:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Juan Pablo Velasco at 86% implied probability to win Bolivia's Santa Cruz gubernatorial runoff on April 19, driven by his first-round plurality of nearly 30% on March 22—edging Otto Ritter's 27%—and a commanding lead in the latest Ipsos-Ciesmori poll for Unitel (43.6% to Ritter's 34.7%, with 15% undecided). Velasco, a young entrepreneur from the Libre alliance, dominates urban Santa Cruz and intermediate cities, while Ritter of Santa Cruz Para Todos holds rural dispersa areas; votes from third-place finisher Luis Fernando Camacho (22%) appear tilting toward Velasco amid fragmented right-leaning opposition dynamics. A recent candidate debate underscored contrasts in profiles, but no major shifts reported in the past 48 hours, leaving Ritter's upset path narrow despite competitiveness in polls.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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