Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Strava IPO closing market cap of $2–3 billion at 43.5% implied probability, closely tracking the fitness tracking platform's $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round led by Sequoia Capital. This positioning stems from Strava's January 2026 confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter, targeting a spring listing amid surging subscription revenue and social fitness trends among Gen Z users—now over 150 million strong. Recent acquisitions like Runna and The Breakaway bolstered growth narratives, but no public S-1 filing has emerged by mid-April, tempering upside bets for higher bins amid volatile IPO markets and competitive pressures from broader wellness apps. Watch for S-1 disclosure or pricing announcements as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2B–3B 44%
3B–4B 20%
4B–5B 9%
<2B 9%
$84,615 거래량
$84,615 거래량
2027.12.31
<2B
9%
2B–3B
44%
3B–4B
20%
4B–5B
15%
5B–7B
5%
7B–10B
4%
10B–15B
5%
15B+
1%
No IPO before 2028
7%
2B–3B 44%
3B–4B 20%
4B–5B 9%
<2B 9%
$84,615 거래량
$84,615 거래량
2027.12.31
<2B
$764 거래량
9%
2B–3B
$53,373 거래량
44%
3B–4B
$24,867 거래량
20%
4B–5B
$928 거래량
15%
5B–7B
$799 거래량
5%
7B–10B
$821 거래량
4%
10B–15B
$1,499 거래량
5%
15B+
$1,066 거래량
1%
No IPO before 2028
$500 거래량
7%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Strava IPO closing market cap of $2–3 billion at 43.5% implied probability, closely tracking the fitness tracking platform's $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round led by Sequoia Capital. This positioning stems from Strava's January 2026 confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter, targeting a spring listing amid surging subscription revenue and social fitness trends among Gen Z users—now over 150 million strong. Recent acquisitions like Runna and The Breakaway bolstered growth narratives, but no public S-1 filing has emerged by mid-April, tempering upside bets for higher bins amid volatile IPO markets and competitive pressures from broader wellness apps. Watch for S-1 disclosure or pricing announcements as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
거래량
$84,615종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Strava IPO closing market cap of $2–3 billion at 43.5% implied probability, closely tracking the fitness tracking platform's $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round led by Sequoia Capital. This positioning stems from Strava's January 2026 confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter, targeting a spring listing amid surging subscription revenue and social fitness trends among Gen Z users—now over 150 million strong. Recent acquisitions like Runna and The Breakaway bolstered growth narratives, but no public S-1 filing has emerged by mid-April, tempering upside bets for higher bins amid volatile IPO markets and competitive pressures from broader wellness apps. Watch for S-1 disclosure or pricing announcements as key catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$84,615종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Strava IPO closing market cap of $2–3 billion at 43.5% implied probability, closely tracking the fitness tracking platform's $2.2 billion private valuation from its May 2025 funding round led by Sequoia Capital. This positioning stems from Strava's January 2026 confidential IPO filing with Goldman Sachs as lead underwriter, targeting a spring listing amid surging subscription revenue and social fitness trends among Gen Z users—now over 150 million strong. Recent acquisitions like Runna and The Breakaway bolstered growth narratives, but no public S-1 filing has emerged by mid-April, tempering upside bets for higher bins amid volatile IPO markets and competitive pressures from broader wellness apps. Watch for S-1 disclosure or pricing announcements as key catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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