Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round, anchors trader expectations near the 2–3B and 4–5B bands that together command nearly 60% implied probability. Recent momentum stems from over 180 million users, ARR approaching $500 million through paid subscriptions, and 2025 acquisitions such as Runna that added AI-driven training features to counter competitors in the digital fitness space. Yet closely matched odds reflect uncertainty around consumer-tech IPO windows, conversion of free users to subscribers, and broader market conditions that could compress valuations below $2 billion or lift them if Gen Z running trends accelerate growth. Goldman Sachs’ role and potential early-2026 listing timing remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2B–3B 33%
4B–5B 26%
<2B 20%
No IPO before 2028 9%
$86,371 거래량
$86,371 거래량
2027.12.31
<2B
20%
2B–3B
33%
3B–4B
8%
4B–5B
26%
5B–7B
5%
7B–10B
1%
10B–15B
6%
15B+
3%
No IPO before 2028
9%
2B–3B 33%
4B–5B 26%
<2B 20%
No IPO before 2028 9%
$86,371 거래량
$86,371 거래량
2027.12.31
<2B
$812 거래량
20%
2B–3B
$54,169 거래량
33%
3B–4B
$25,125 거래량
8%
4B–5B
$1,113 거래량
26%
5B–7B
$847 거래량
5%
7B–10B
$944 거래량
1%
10B–15B
$1,557 거래량
6%
15B+
$1,240 거래량
3%
No IPO before 2028
$563 거래량
9%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round, anchors trader expectations near the 2–3B and 4–5B bands that together command nearly 60% implied probability. Recent momentum stems from over 180 million users, ARR approaching $500 million through paid subscriptions, and 2025 acquisitions such as Runna that added AI-driven training features to counter competitors in the digital fitness space. Yet closely matched odds reflect uncertainty around consumer-tech IPO windows, conversion of free users to subscribers, and broader market conditions that could compress valuations below $2 billion or lift them if Gen Z running trends accelerate growth. Goldman Sachs’ role and potential early-2026 listing timing remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
거래량
$86,371종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round, anchors trader expectations near the 2–3B and 4–5B bands that together command nearly 60% implied probability. Recent momentum stems from over 180 million users, ARR approaching $500 million through paid subscriptions, and 2025 acquisitions such as Runna that added AI-driven training features to counter competitors in the digital fitness space. Yet closely matched odds reflect uncertainty around consumer-tech IPO windows, conversion of free users to subscribers, and broader market conditions that could compress valuations below $2 billion or lift them if Gen Z running trends accelerate growth. Goldman Sachs’ role and potential early-2026 listing timing remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$86,371종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s confidential S-1 filing in early 2026, following its $2.2 billion private valuation from the May 2025 round, anchors trader expectations near the 2–3B and 4–5B bands that together command nearly 60% implied probability. Recent momentum stems from over 180 million users, ARR approaching $500 million through paid subscriptions, and 2025 acquisitions such as Runna that added AI-driven training features to counter competitors in the digital fitness space. Yet closely matched odds reflect uncertainty around consumer-tech IPO windows, conversion of free users to subscribers, and broader market conditions that could compress valuations below $2 billion or lift them if Gen Z running trends accelerate growth. Goldman Sachs’ role and potential early-2026 listing timing remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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