Trader consensus prices the incumbent DMK alliance at 74% implied probability to win the most seats in Tamil Nadu's 234-member Legislative Assembly ahead of April 23 voting, reflecting recent opinion polls like Poll Tracker's projection of 172-178 seats on 42.7% vote share, outpacing ADMK's 46-52 seats (30.3%) and TVK's 6-12 (19.2%). DMK's edge stems from Chief Minister MK Stalin's welfare-focused governance and stable secular alliance including INC, contrasting ADMK's internal rifts under Edappadi K Palaniswami and weakened NDA ties. Actor Vijay's new TVK draws anti-incumbent votes as a third force but fragments opposition without majority potential, while BJP and others lag amid multi-cornered contest signals from March-April surveys. Final campaigning could shift dynamics before May 4 counting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트DMK 76%
ADMK 11.9%
TVK 7.3%
AITC <1%
$353,815 거래량
$353,815 거래량
2026.04.23
DMK
76%
ADMK
12%
TVK
14%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
DMDK
<1%
BSP
<1%
CPI
<1%
인도 국민회의(INC)
<1%
NPEP
<1%
BJP
<1%
NCP
<1%
DMK 76%
ADMK 11.9%
TVK 7.3%
AITC <1%
$353,815 거래량
$353,815 거래량
2026.04.23
DMK
$52,329 거래량
76%
ADMK
$46,494 거래량
12%
TVK
$74,264 거래량
14%
AITC
$19,827 거래량
<1%
CPI(M)
$38,302 거래량
<1%
DMDK
$12,329 거래량
<1%
BSP
$12,144 거래량
<1%
CPI
$13,064 거래량
<1%
인도 국민회의(INC)
$34,415 거래량
<1%
NPEP
$12,372 거래량
<1%
BJP
$21,158 거래량
<1%
NCP
$17,147 거래량
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus prices the incumbent DMK alliance at 74% implied probability to win the most seats in Tamil Nadu's 234-member Legislative Assembly ahead of April 23 voting, reflecting recent opinion polls like Poll Tracker's projection of 172-178 seats on 42.7% vote share, outpacing ADMK's 46-52 seats (30.3%) and TVK's 6-12 (19.2%). DMK's edge stems from Chief Minister MK Stalin's welfare-focused governance and stable secular alliance including INC, contrasting ADMK's internal rifts under Edappadi K Palaniswami and weakened NDA ties. Actor Vijay's new TVK draws anti-incumbent votes as a third force but fragments opposition without majority potential, while BJP and others lag amid multi-cornered contest signals from March-April surveys. Final campaigning could shift dynamics before May 4 counting.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
거래량
$353,815종료일
2026.04.23마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus prices the incumbent DMK alliance at 74% implied probability to win the most seats in Tamil Nadu's 234-member Legislative Assembly ahead of April 23 voting, reflecting recent opinion polls like Poll Tracker's projection of 172-178 seats on 42.7% vote share, outpacing ADMK's 46-52 seats (30.3%) and TVK's 6-12 (19.2%). DMK's edge stems from Chief Minister MK Stalin's welfare-focused governance and stable secular alliance including INC, contrasting ADMK's internal rifts under Edappadi K Palaniswami and weakened NDA ties. Actor Vijay's new TVK draws anti-incumbent votes as a third force but fragments opposition without majority potential, while BJP and others lag amid multi-cornered contest signals from March-April surveys. Final campaigning could shift dynamics before May 4 counting.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
거래량
$353,815종료일
2026.04.23마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the incumbent DMK alliance at 74% implied probability to win the most seats in Tamil Nadu's 234-member Legislative Assembly ahead of April 23 voting, reflecting recent opinion polls like Poll Tracker's projection of 172-178 seats on 42.7% vote share, outpacing ADMK's 46-52 seats (30.3%) and TVK's 6-12 (19.2%). DMK's edge stems from Chief Minister MK Stalin's welfare-focused governance and stable secular alliance including INC, contrasting ADMK's internal rifts under Edappadi K Palaniswami and weakened NDA ties. Actor Vijay's new TVK draws anti-incumbent votes as a third force but fragments opposition without majority potential, while BJP and others lag amid multi-cornered contest signals from March-April surveys. Final campaigning could shift dynamics before May 4 counting.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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