Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% turnout in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting official preliminary data from the National Election Commission showing 77.8% participation by poll close—a record surpassing the 2002 high of 70.5% and far exceeding 2022's 57.6%. Final counts near 79.6%, driven by intense polarization in the National Assembly race between Viktor Orbán's long-ruling Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's anti-corruption Tisza party, amplified by economic stagnation, voter fatigue after 16 years of Fidesz dominance, youth mobilization, and opposition surge. High early voting and broad mobilization across urban-rural divides solidified this positioning. While resolution awaits certified totals, discrepancies from recounts or absentee validations could theoretically shift odds, though current evidence points firmly to this bin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트77~80% 98.0%
80% 이상 1.0%
74~77% <1%
65% 미만 <1%
$1,317,088 거래량
$1,317,088 거래량
2026.04.12
65% 미만
<1%
65–68%
<1%
68~71%
<1%
71~74%
<1%
74~77%
<1%
77~80%
98%
80% 이상
1%
77~80% 98.0%
80% 이상 1.0%
74~77% <1%
65% 미만 <1%
$1,317,088 거래량
$1,317,088 거래량
2026.04.12
65% 미만
$94,991 거래량
<1%
65–68%
$55,440 거래량
<1%
68~71%
$135,631 거래량
<1%
71~74%
$131,916 거래량
<1%
74~77%
$276,436 거래량
<1%
77~80%
$245,699 거래량
98%
80% 이상
$376,974 거래량
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% turnout in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting official preliminary data from the National Election Commission showing 77.8% participation by poll close—a record surpassing the 2002 high of 70.5% and far exceeding 2022's 57.6%. Final counts near 79.6%, driven by intense polarization in the National Assembly race between Viktor Orbán's long-ruling Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's anti-corruption Tisza party, amplified by economic stagnation, voter fatigue after 16 years of Fidesz dominance, youth mobilization, and opposition surge. High early voting and broad mobilization across urban-rural divides solidified this positioning. While resolution awaits certified totals, discrepancies from recounts or absentee validations could theoretically shift odds, though current evidence points firmly to this bin.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
마켓 개설일: Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
거래량
$1,317,088종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% turnout in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting official preliminary data from the National Election Commission showing 77.8% participation by poll close—a record surpassing the 2002 high of 70.5% and far exceeding 2022's 57.6%. Final counts near 79.6%, driven by intense polarization in the National Assembly race between Viktor Orbán's long-ruling Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's anti-corruption Tisza party, amplified by economic stagnation, voter fatigue after 16 years of Fidesz dominance, youth mobilization, and opposition surge. High early voting and broad mobilization across urban-rural divides solidified this positioning. While resolution awaits certified totals, discrepancies from recounts or absentee validations could theoretically shift odds, though current evidence points firmly to this bin.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve based on the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Hungary Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters. All eligible voters includes eligible voters voting by mail or without a Hungarian address.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, including the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
거래량
$1,317,088종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 77–80% turnout in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting official preliminary data from the National Election Commission showing 77.8% participation by poll close—a record surpassing the 2002 high of 70.5% and far exceeding 2022's 57.6%. Final counts near 79.6%, driven by intense polarization in the National Assembly race between Viktor Orbán's long-ruling Fidesz and challenger Péter Magyar's anti-corruption Tisza party, amplified by economic stagnation, voter fatigue after 16 years of Fidesz dominance, youth mobilization, and opposition surge. High early voting and broad mobilization across urban-rural divides solidified this positioning. While resolution awaits certified totals, discrepancies from recounts or absentee validations could theoretically shift odds, though current evidence points firmly to this bin.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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