Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency dominance in the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats requiring a 5% threshold and 225 single-mandate districts where it historically prevails. Early April polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia leading vote intentions at 30-52%, ahead of New People at 5-16%, LDPR around 10-14%, and KPRF at 7-13%, with projections estimating United Russia at roughly 223 seats despite potential list vote erosion. New People's elevated odds stem from a +1.2% polling gain over 30 days and March list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, amid Kremlin preparations including redistricting and United Russia's January campaign headquarters launch under Vladimir Yakushev. Recent regional election gains bolster United Russia's position, though high abstention signals uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트통합 러시아(ER) 65%
뉴피플(NL) 29.7%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR) 5.2%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF) <1%
$5,499,574 거래량
$5,499,574 거래량
2026.09.30
통합 러시아(ER)
65%
뉴피플(NL)
30%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR)
5%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF)
<1%
공정 러시아 – 진실을 위하여(SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
시민 플랫폼(GP)
<1%
통합 러시아(ER) 65%
뉴피플(NL) 29.7%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR) 5.2%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF) <1%
$5,499,574 거래량
$5,499,574 거래량
2026.09.30
통합 러시아(ER)
$1,512,607 거래량
65%
뉴피플(NL)
$497,762 거래량
30%
러시아 자유민주당(LDPR)
$2,133,822 거래량
5%
러시아 연방 공산당(KPRF)
$368,849 거래량
<1%
공정 러시아 – 진실을 위하여(SRZP)
$331,385 거래량
<1%
Rodina
$364,113 거래량
<1%
시민 플랫폼(GP)
$291,034 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency dominance in the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats requiring a 5% threshold and 225 single-mandate districts where it historically prevails. Early April polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia leading vote intentions at 30-52%, ahead of New People at 5-16%, LDPR around 10-14%, and KPRF at 7-13%, with projections estimating United Russia at roughly 223 seats despite potential list vote erosion. New People's elevated odds stem from a +1.2% polling gain over 30 days and March list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, amid Kremlin preparations including redistricting and United Russia's January campaign headquarters launch under Vladimir Yakushev. Recent regional election gains bolster United Russia's position, though high abstention signals uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
마켓 개설일: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
거래량
$5,499,574종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency dominance in the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats requiring a 5% threshold and 225 single-mandate districts where it historically prevails. Early April polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia leading vote intentions at 30-52%, ahead of New People at 5-16%, LDPR around 10-14%, and KPRF at 7-13%, with projections estimating United Russia at roughly 223 seats despite potential list vote erosion. New People's elevated odds stem from a +1.2% polling gain over 30 days and March list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, amid Kremlin preparations including redistricting and United Russia's January campaign headquarters launch under Vladimir Yakushev. Recent regional election gains bolster United Russia's position, though high abstention signals uncertainty.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
거래량
$5,499,574종료일
2026.09.20마켓 개설일
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors United Russia to secure the most seats in the September 20, 2026, State Duma election, reflecting its incumbency dominance in the mixed electoral system—225 proportional list seats requiring a 5% threshold and 225 single-mandate districts where it historically prevails. Early April polls from FOM and WCIOM show United Russia leading vote intentions at 30-52%, ahead of New People at 5-16%, LDPR around 10-14%, and KPRF at 7-13%, with projections estimating United Russia at roughly 223 seats despite potential list vote erosion. New People's elevated odds stem from a +1.2% polling gain over 30 days and March list approvals led by Alexey Nechayev, amid Kremlin preparations including redistricting and United Russia's January campaign headquarters launch under Vladimir Yakushev. Recent regional election gains bolster United Russia's position, though high abstention signals uncertainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문