Incumbent Republican Brian Mast faces Democratic nominee James Martin in Florida's 21st congressional district on November 3, 2026, with trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican at 93 percent. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Mast's 2024 re-election margin of 61.8 percent. Mast advanced without a primary contest, while Martin narrowly won his August primary. The district's structural advantages for Republicans, combined with limited recent polling or campaign developments shifting the balance, underpin current market positioning. Late national shifts, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-21 House Election Winner
$14,472 Wol.
$14,472 Wol.
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$14,472 Wol.
$14,472 Wol.
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast faces Democratic nominee James Martin in Florida's 21st congressional district on November 3, 2026, with trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican at 93 percent. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Mast's 2024 re-election margin of 61.8 percent. Mast advanced without a primary contest, while Martin narrowly won his August primary. The district's structural advantages for Republicans, combined with limited recent polling or campaign developments shifting the balance, underpin current market positioning. Late national shifts, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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