Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 72-73°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this bin. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a lingering upper-level trough and northerly winds—remnants of a cold front that swept through Central Texas earlier in the week—severely limited solar heating, capping highs well below the April climatological average of 81°F. This followed record-warm early April temperatures, including ties near 93°F on April 1. With automated surface observing system (ASOS) data now finalized in daily climate reports, revision risks are negligible barring rare instrument anomalies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on April 18?
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$113,776 Wol.
$113,776 Wol.
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$113,776 Wol.
$113,776 Wol.
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Austin Camp Mabry and Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 18, 2026, peaked at 72-73°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this bin. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a lingering upper-level trough and northerly winds—remnants of a cold front that swept through Central Texas earlier in the week—severely limited solar heating, capping highs well below the April climatological average of 81°F. This followed record-warm early April temperatures, including ties near 93°F on April 1. With automated surface observing system (ASOS) data now finalized in daily climate reports, revision risks are negligible barring rare instrument anomalies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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