Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Chicago on August 28 indicate a high near 80–83°F under mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the late-August climatological average high of 81.3°F. Clear conditions overnight and modest humidity support efficient daytime heating without the influence of stronger southerly flow or an approaching front. Lake Michigan's moderating effect keeps readings from spiking higher near downtown and O'Hare. These stable, verified projections from official sources explain the heavy market weighting toward 82–83°F (53.5%) and adjacent bins, with limited upside risk reflected in the low probabilities assigned to 86°F+. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 28?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 28?
82-83°F 55%
84-85°F 22%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
55%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 55%
84-85°F 22%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
75°F or below
$75 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$6 Wol.
2%
78-79°F
$56 Wol.
4%
80-81°F
$307 Wol.
17%
82-83°F
$476 Wol.
55%
84-85°F
$246 Wol.
22%
86-87°F
$186 Wol.
6%
88-89°F
$6 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$83 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$269 Wol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$269 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Chicago on August 28 indicate a high near 80–83°F under mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the late-August climatological average high of 81.3°F. Clear conditions overnight and modest humidity support efficient daytime heating without the influence of stronger southerly flow or an approaching front. Lake Michigan's moderating effect keeps readings from spiking higher near downtown and O'Hare. These stable, verified projections from official sources explain the heavy market weighting toward 82–83°F (53.5%) and adjacent bins, with limited upside risk reflected in the low probabilities assigned to 86°F+. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,980Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Chicago on August 28 indicate a high near 80–83°F under mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the late-August climatological average high of 81.3°F. Clear conditions overnight and modest humidity support efficient daytime heating without the influence of stronger southerly flow or an approaching front. Lake Michigan's moderating effect keeps readings from spiking higher near downtown and O'Hare. These stable, verified projections from official sources explain the heavy market weighting toward 82–83°F (53.5%) and adjacent bins, with limited upside risk reflected in the low probabilities assigned to 86°F+. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,980Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Chicago on August 28 indicate a high near 80–83°F under mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the late-August climatological average high of 81.3°F. Clear conditions overnight and modest humidity support efficient daytime heating without the influence of stronger southerly flow or an approaching front. Lake Michigan's moderating effect keeps readings from spiking higher near downtown and O'Hare. These stable, verified projections from official sources explain the heavy market weighting toward 82–83°F (53.5%) and adjacent bins, with limited upside risk reflected in the low probabilities assigned to 86°F+. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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