Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s °F for Chicago on August 28, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered between 60–67 °F. Light winds, high pressure, and limited cloud cover overnight favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 80 °F, while dew points near 60 °F and a moderating lake breeze limit further drops. Historical climatology places the long-term average low at approximately 65 °F, providing a baseline that aligns with current guidance. Minor differences among bins hinge on exact cloud timing, wind variability, and urban versus airport microclimates, with traders weighting the consensus mid-60s range most heavily as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chicago on August 28?
70-71°F 45%
64-65°F 34%
56-57°F 26%
66-67°F 26%
55°F or below
19%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
10%
74°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 45%
64-65°F 34%
56-57°F 26%
66-67°F 26%
55°F or below
19%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
25%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
34%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
10%
74°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and supporting ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in the mid-60s °F for Chicago on August 28, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered between 60–67 °F. Light winds, high pressure, and limited cloud cover overnight favor radiational cooling after daytime highs near 80 °F, while dew points near 60 °F and a moderating lake breeze limit further drops. Historical climatology places the long-term average low at approximately 65 °F, providing a baseline that aligns with current guidance. Minor differences among bins hinge on exact cloud timing, wind variability, and urban versus airport microclimates, with traders weighting the consensus mid-60s range most heavily as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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