Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 5?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$106,351 Wol.
$106,351 Wol.
May 5, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$106,351 Wol.
$106,351 Wol.
May 5, 2026
25°C or below
$9,116 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,813 Wol.
No
27°C
$3,359 Wol.
No
28°C
$11,373 Wol.
No
29°C
$7,284 Wol.
No
30°C
$9,854 Wol.
No
31°C
$11,429 Wol.
Yes
32°C
$10,292 Wol.
No
33°C
$18,134 Wol.
No
34°C
$14,583 Wol.
No
35°C or higher
$9,115 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Wolumen
$106,351Data zakończenia
May 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$106,351Data zakończenia
May 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 31°C in Chongqing on May 5, 2026, driven by official observational data from the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station—the market's resolution source via China Meteorological Administration records—showing a peak of 31°C reached mid-afternoon amid hazy sunshine and stable atmospheric conditions. Current hourly readings confirm cooling trends as the diurnal cycle progresses, with no model consensus from numerical weather prediction outputs indicating further intensification before local midnight. This aligns with early May climatology, where highs average 26–28°C but can spike modestly under clear skies. A challenge would require an anomalous late-evening heat burst from subsidence or clear-sky radiation, defying observed upper-air stability and remaining daylight constraints. Final data expected post-midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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