Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,321 Wol.
$31,321 Wol.
Jul 17, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$31,321 Wol.
$31,321 Wol.
Jul 17, 2026
18°C or below
$686 Wol.
No
19°C
$1,551 Wol.
No
20°C
$1,442 Wol.
No
21°C
$4,882 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,148 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,315 Wol.
No
24°C
$7,914 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$2,622 Wol.
No
26°C
$1,900 Wol.
No
27°C
$1,702 Wol.
No
28°C or higher
$1,160 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$31,321Data zakończenia
Jul 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$31,321Data zakończenia
Jul 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 15, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Traders see the highest temperature in Mexico City on July 17 as most likely 23–24°C because current model consensus from regional and global ensembles shows afternoon peaks in that narrow range under typical July highland conditions. Mexico City’s 2,240-meter elevation and urban heat island moderate extremes, while variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and steering winds create the main uncertainty separating 23°C from 24°C outcomes. Recent model runs have tightened around these values with limited spread, keeping 25°C as a plausible upside scenario and sub-22°C probabilities low given seasonal baselines. New observational data and updated forecasts tomorrow morning will likely refine the final distribution before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania