Forecast models from sources including GFS and local European guidance indicate a high of 23–24°C in Munich on September 20, 2026, driven by mild westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating and low precipitation risk until evening. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 19.1°C for the date, positioning 24°C as the leading outcome at 56% market-implied probability, followed by 23°C at 25.5%. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around these values, with minor upside risk to 25°C reflected in its 12% odds. Resolution hinges on official observations from Munich stations, with final readings expected shortly after sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 20?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 20?
24°C 56%
23°C 26%
25°C 12%
22°C 3%
NOWE
$12,898 Wol.
NOWE
$12,898 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
26%
24°C
56%
25°C
12%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 56%
23°C 26%
25°C 12%
22°C 3%
NOWE
$12,898 Wol.
NOWE
$12,898 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
$31 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$584 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$151 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$522 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,104 Wol.
3%
23°C
$2,397 Wol.
26%
24°C
$5,439 Wol.
56%
25°C
$1,264 Wol.
12%
26°C
$671 Wol.
2%
27°C
$306 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$429 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and local European guidance indicate a high of 23–24°C in Munich on September 20, 2026, driven by mild westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating and low precipitation risk until evening. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 19.1°C for the date, positioning 24°C as the leading outcome at 56% market-implied probability, followed by 23°C at 25.5%. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around these values, with minor upside risk to 25°C reflected in its 12% odds. Resolution hinges on official observations from Munich stations, with final readings expected shortly after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,898Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and local European guidance indicate a high of 23–24°C in Munich on September 20, 2026, driven by mild westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating and low precipitation risk until evening. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 19.1°C for the date, positioning 24°C as the leading outcome at 56% market-implied probability, followed by 23°C at 25.5%. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around these values, with minor upside risk to 25°C reflected in its 12% odds. Resolution hinges on official observations from Munich stations, with final readings expected shortly after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$12,898Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and local European guidance indicate a high of 23–24°C in Munich on September 20, 2026, driven by mild westerly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited daytime heating and low precipitation risk until evening. This setup exceeds the 1991–2020 average high of 19.1°C for the date, positioning 24°C as the leading outcome at 56% market-implied probability, followed by 23°C at 25.5%. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around these values, with minor upside risk to 25°C reflected in its 12% odds. Resolution hinges on official observations from Munich stations, with final readings expected shortly after sunset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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