Recent polling from mid-September shows DPP nominee Cheng Chao-fang leading KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying by roughly 6 points among decided voters, with nearly 30% still undecided ahead of the November 28 election. Cheng, nominated in June after recruitment by President Lai Ching-te, draws stronger support in the populous Zhubei area and among younger and college-educated voters, while Hsu maintains broader geographic backing outside that city following her March primary win. The collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination over the related Zhubei mayoral race has limited opposition consolidation, and the acquittal of incumbent KMT Magistrate Yang Wen-ke in a corruption case has not produced a clear rebound for his party. These factors underpin trader consensus pricing a narrow edge for Cheng in a contest still sensitive to late shifts in undecided voters and turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCheng Chao-fang 65%
Hsu Hsin-ying 42%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
$15,938 Wol.
$15,938 Wol.
Nov 28, 2026
Cheng Chao-fang
65%
Hsu Hsin-ying
42%
Lin Szu-ming
<1%
Chen Chien-hsien
<1%
Cheng Chao-fang 65%
Hsu Hsin-ying 42%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
$15,938 Wol.
$15,938 Wol.
Nov 28, 2026
Cheng Chao-fang
$7,429 Wol.
65%
Hsu Hsin-ying
$6,640 Wol.
42%
Lin Szu-ming
$1,073 Wol.
<1%
Chen Chien-hsien
$797 Wol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Recent polling from mid-September shows DPP nominee Cheng Chao-fang leading KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying by roughly 6 points among decided voters, with nearly 30% still undecided ahead of the November 28 election. Cheng, nominated in June after recruitment by President Lai Ching-te, draws stronger support in the populous Zhubei area and among younger and college-educated voters, while Hsu maintains broader geographic backing outside that city following her March primary win. The collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination over the related Zhubei mayoral race has limited opposition consolidation, and the acquittal of incumbent KMT Magistrate Yang Wen-ke in a corruption case has not produced a clear rebound for his party. These factors underpin trader consensus pricing a narrow edge for Cheng in a contest still sensitive to late shifts in undecided voters and turnout.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,938Data zakończenia
Nov 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Recent polling from mid-September shows DPP nominee Cheng Chao-fang leading KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying by roughly 6 points among decided voters, with nearly 30% still undecided ahead of the November 28 election. Cheng, nominated in June after recruitment by President Lai Ching-te, draws stronger support in the populous Zhubei area and among younger and college-educated voters, while Hsu maintains broader geographic backing outside that city following her March primary win. The collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination over the related Zhubei mayoral race has limited opposition consolidation, and the acquittal of incumbent KMT Magistrate Yang Wen-ke in a corruption case has not produced a clear rebound for his party. These factors underpin trader consensus pricing a narrow edge for Cheng in a contest still sensitive to late shifts in undecided voters and turnout.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Wolumen
$15,938Data zakończenia
Nov 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Recent polling from mid-September shows DPP nominee Cheng Chao-fang leading KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying by roughly 6 points among decided voters, with nearly 30% still undecided ahead of the November 28 election. Cheng, nominated in June after recruitment by President Lai Ching-te, draws stronger support in the populous Zhubei area and among younger and college-educated voters, while Hsu maintains broader geographic backing outside that city following her March primary win. The collapse of local KMT-TPP coordination over the related Zhubei mayoral race has limited opposition consolidation, and the acquittal of incumbent KMT Magistrate Yang Wen-ke in a corruption case has not produced a clear rebound for his party. These factors underpin trader consensus pricing a narrow edge for Cheng in a contest still sensitive to late shifts in undecided voters and turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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