**Forecast models indicate a clear, dry night over Ankara on September 10 with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C.** Overnight lows are expected to bottom out between roughly 13–15°C around dawn, consistent with seasonal norms for the city’s 870 m elevation and early-autumn high-pressure regime. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 10–13°C reflects small differences among numerical weather prediction runs in the precise timing and intensity of minimum temperatures, driven by variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and local urban effects. With no incoming fronts or moisture, traders are weighing the balance between efficient nocturnal cooling under clear skies and the moderating influence of light winds and residual daytime heat storage. Updated model guidance and official observations from stations such as Esenboğa will be the key near-term drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
12°C 28%
10°C or below 28%
11°C 26%
13°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
10°C or below
28%
11°C
26%
12°C
28%
13°C
18%
14°C
12%
15°C
8%
16°C
8%
17°C
13%
18°C
7%
19°C
9%
20°C or higher
8%
12°C 28%
10°C or below 28%
11°C 26%
13°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
28%
11°C
$0 Wol.
26%
12°C
$0 Wol.
28%
13°C
$17 Wol.
18%
14°C
$0 Wol.
12%
15°C
$83 Wol.
8%
16°C
$91 Wol.
8%
17°C
$12 Wol.
13%
18°C
$25 Wol.
7%
19°C
$30 Wol.
9%
20°C or higher
$30 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a clear, dry night over Ankara on September 10 with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C.** Overnight lows are expected to bottom out between roughly 13–15°C around dawn, consistent with seasonal norms for the city’s 870 m elevation and early-autumn high-pressure regime. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 10–13°C reflects small differences among numerical weather prediction runs in the precise timing and intensity of minimum temperatures, driven by variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and local urban effects. With no incoming fronts or moisture, traders are weighing the balance between efficient nocturnal cooling under clear skies and the moderating influence of light winds and residual daytime heat storage. Updated model guidance and official observations from stations such as Esenboğa will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$289Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a clear, dry night over Ankara on September 10 with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C.** Overnight lows are expected to bottom out between roughly 13–15°C around dawn, consistent with seasonal norms for the city’s 870 m elevation and early-autumn high-pressure regime. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 10–13°C reflects small differences among numerical weather prediction runs in the precise timing and intensity of minimum temperatures, driven by variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and local urban effects. With no incoming fronts or moisture, traders are weighing the balance between efficient nocturnal cooling under clear skies and the moderating influence of light winds and residual daytime heat storage. Updated model guidance and official observations from stations such as Esenboğa will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$289Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a clear, dry night over Ankara on September 10 with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover, favoring strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–30°C.** Overnight lows are expected to bottom out between roughly 13–15°C around dawn, consistent with seasonal norms for the city’s 870 m elevation and early-autumn high-pressure regime. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 10–13°C reflects small differences among numerical weather prediction runs in the precise timing and intensity of minimum temperatures, driven by variations in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point depression, and local urban effects. With no incoming fronts or moisture, traders are weighing the balance between efficient nocturnal cooling under clear skies and the moderating influence of light winds and residual daytime heat storage. Updated model guidance and official observations from stations such as Esenboğa will be the key near-term drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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