Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 3 will hover near 21°C under clear skies, light-to-moderate northeast winds, and high pressure favoring modest radiative cooling. This places the expected low close to early-September climatological norms while sea-surface influence and downslope flow limit deeper drops. Trader sentiment remains split between a warm outlier scenario above 27°C and values clustered around 22°C because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, or wind gusts can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent and model consensus tight, the market reflects uncertainty over whether nocturnal cooling will reach the lower end of guidance or stay elevated by persistent advection.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 3?
27°C or higher 87%
18°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
17°C or below
6%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
87%
27°C or higher 87%
18°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
17°C or below
6%
18°C
50%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 3 will hover near 21°C under clear skies, light-to-moderate northeast winds, and high pressure favoring modest radiative cooling. This places the expected low close to early-September climatological norms while sea-surface influence and downslope flow limit deeper drops. Trader sentiment remains split between a warm outlier scenario above 27°C and values clustered around 22°C because small variations in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, or wind gusts can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent and model consensus tight, the market reflects uncertainty over whether nocturnal cooling will reach the lower end of guidance or stay elevated by persistent advection.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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