Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on June 18?
Lowest temperature in London on June 18?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$41,887 Wol.
$41,887 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$41,887 Wol.
$41,887 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
$500 Wol.
No
13°C
$714 Wol.
No
14°C
$685 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,967 Wol.
No
16°C
$2,450 Wol.
No
17°C
$5,751 Wol.
Yes
18°C
$14,507 Wol.
No
19°C
$853 Wol.
No
20°C
$13,750 Wol.
No
21°C
$510 Wol.
No
22°C or higher
$200 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,887Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$41,887Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum temperature near 17–18°C overnight into June 18, driven by mild southerly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and above-average sea-surface temperatures around the UK. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 17°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability, while 16°C and 18°C options capture residual model spread from boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical mid-June climatology shows typical lows near 12–13°C, but persistent high pressure and lack of northerly incursions have elevated the current baseline. Updated observations and final Met Office verification data expected later today will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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