A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on June 23?
Lowest temperature in London on June 23?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$20,307 Wol.
$20,307 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$20,307 Wol.
$20,307 Wol.
Jun 23, 2026
14°C or below
$546 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,009 Wol.
No
16°C
$2,301 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,122 Wol.
No
18°C
$4,310 Wol.
Yes
19°C
$3,829 Wol.
No
20°C
$3,279 Wol.
No
21°C
$534 Wol.
No
22°C
$649 Wol.
No
23°C
$727 Wol.
No
24°C or higher
$999 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,307Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20,307Data zakończenia
Jun 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
A strong heatwave driven by high pressure and southerly warm-air advection has elevated forecast overnight minima for London on June 23, 2026, to the 20–24 °C range according to the latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance. This positions the 20 °C outcome as the market leader because ensemble means cluster near that value, while residual model spread—particularly in boundary-layer humidity and cloud cover—keeps modest probabilities on both 24 °C or higher and slightly cooler 17–19 °C bins. Historical mid-June minima average 12–13 °C, so the current anomaly reflects the atypical persistence of the warm airmass rather than typical radiative cooling under clearer skies. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will determine whether the minimum settles closer to 20 °C or edges toward the higher thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania