**Trader consensus heavily favors an 18°C low for London on September 13, reflecting official forecasts and current atmospheric conditions that limit overnight cooling.** The Met Office and supporting models indicate a mild, humid air mass with persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and high dew points near 17–18°C, which suppress radiative heat loss and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent observations show daytime highs around 22–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle, transitioning to a mild night without the clear, calm conditions needed for sharper drops. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but sits above the lower tail of historical minima, explaining the strong market-implied probability for 18°C versus minimal odds on 16°C or below. Updated model runs and agency briefings through the morning have reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on September 13?
Lowest temperature in London on September 13?
18°C 96%
17°C 2%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$10,381 Wol.
$10,381 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
96%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 96%
17°C 2%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$10,381 Wol.
$10,381 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
$155 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$155 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$55 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$360 Wol.
1%
16°C
$839 Wol.
1%
17°C
$2,778 Wol.
2%
18°C
$2,632 Wol.
96%
19°C
$2,235 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$862 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$155 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$155 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors an 18°C low for London on September 13, reflecting official forecasts and current atmospheric conditions that limit overnight cooling.** The Met Office and supporting models indicate a mild, humid air mass with persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and high dew points near 17–18°C, which suppress radiative heat loss and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent observations show daytime highs around 22–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle, transitioning to a mild night without the clear, calm conditions needed for sharper drops. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but sits above the lower tail of historical minima, explaining the strong market-implied probability for 18°C versus minimal odds on 16°C or below. Updated model runs and agency briefings through the morning have reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,381Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors an 18°C low for London on September 13, reflecting official forecasts and current atmospheric conditions that limit overnight cooling.** The Met Office and supporting models indicate a mild, humid air mass with persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and high dew points near 17–18°C, which suppress radiative heat loss and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent observations show daytime highs around 22–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle, transitioning to a mild night without the clear, calm conditions needed for sharper drops. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but sits above the lower tail of historical minima, explaining the strong market-implied probability for 18°C versus minimal odds on 16°C or below. Updated model runs and agency briefings through the morning have reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,381Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors an 18°C low for London on September 13, reflecting official forecasts and current atmospheric conditions that limit overnight cooling.** The Met Office and supporting models indicate a mild, humid air mass with persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and high dew points near 17–18°C, which suppress radiative heat loss and keep minimum temperatures elevated. Recent observations show daytime highs around 22–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle, transitioning to a mild night without the clear, calm conditions needed for sharper drops. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but sits above the lower tail of historical minima, explaining the strong market-implied probability for 18°C versus minimal odds on 16°C or below. Updated model runs and agency briefings through the morning have reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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