Recent Met Office and GFS model runs position an 18°C low as the leading outcome for London on September 14, driven by mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Overnight temperatures are expected to bottom out near 17–18°C amid light winds and dew points around 16°C, consistent with the current warm air mass rather than seasonal September averages near 12–14°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread for this 24-hour window, with only modest variability possible if clearer breaks allow slightly more cooling or if showers develop earlier than anticipated. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance thresholds heavily, as resolution depends on verified minimum readings from central London stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on September 14?
Lowest temperature in London on September 14?
18°C 52%
19°C 23%
17°C 13%
16°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
12%
17°C
13%
18°C
52%
19°C
23%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 52%
19°C 23%
17°C 13%
16°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
12°C or below
$43 Wol.
1%
13°C
$21 Wol.
1%
14°C
$20 Wol.
1%
15°C
$99 Wol.
6%
16°C
$129 Wol.
12%
17°C
$3,043 Wol.
13%
18°C
$777 Wol.
52%
19°C
$649 Wol.
23%
20°C
$20 Wol.
3%
21°C
$43 Wol.
1%
22°C or higher
$43 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs position an 18°C low as the leading outcome for London on September 14, driven by mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Overnight temperatures are expected to bottom out near 17–18°C amid light winds and dew points around 16°C, consistent with the current warm air mass rather than seasonal September averages near 12–14°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread for this 24-hour window, with only modest variability possible if clearer breaks allow slightly more cooling or if showers develop earlier than anticipated. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance thresholds heavily, as resolution depends on verified minimum readings from central London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,885Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model runs position an 18°C low as the leading outcome for London on September 14, driven by mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Overnight temperatures are expected to bottom out near 17–18°C amid light winds and dew points around 16°C, consistent with the current warm air mass rather than seasonal September averages near 12–14°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread for this 24-hour window, with only modest variability possible if clearer breaks allow slightly more cooling or if showers develop earlier than anticipated. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance thresholds heavily, as resolution depends on verified minimum readings from central London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,885Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and GFS model runs position an 18°C low as the leading outcome for London on September 14, driven by mild southwesterly flow and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling under stable high pressure. Overnight temperatures are expected to bottom out near 17–18°C amid light winds and dew points around 16°C, consistent with the current warm air mass rather than seasonal September averages near 12–14°C. Model consensus shows minimal spread for this 24-hour window, with only modest variability possible if clearer breaks allow slightly more cooling or if showers develop earlier than anticipated. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance thresholds heavily, as resolution depends on verified minimum readings from central London stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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