Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a cool, rainy perturbation crossing northern Italy, suppressing daytime heating and yielding overnight lows near 16–18°C in Milan amid widespread cloud cover and light easterly flow. This setup, with surface pressures around 1010–1013 hPa and dew points close to air temperatures, favors radiative cooling limited by moisture and urban heat retention, keeping the daily minimum clustered around 15–17°C. Traders weigh slight model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers, which could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C depending on whether clearing allows further nocturnal cooling or persistent rain maintains warmer conditions. Historical September minima average near 14°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports the market’s tight grouping at the upper end of that range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
12°C or below 77%
17°C 51%
15°C 42%
16°C 42%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
77%
13°C
18%
14°C
40%
15°C
42%
16°C
42%
17°C
51%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 77%
17°C 51%
15°C 42%
16°C 42%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
12°C or below
$110 Wol.
77%
13°C
$134 Wol.
18%
14°C
$8 Wol.
40%
15°C
$0 Wol.
42%
16°C
$0 Wol.
42%
17°C
$0 Wol.
51%
18°C
$82 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$138 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$184 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$115 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a cool, rainy perturbation crossing northern Italy, suppressing daytime heating and yielding overnight lows near 16–18°C in Milan amid widespread cloud cover and light easterly flow. This setup, with surface pressures around 1010–1013 hPa and dew points close to air temperatures, favors radiative cooling limited by moisture and urban heat retention, keeping the daily minimum clustered around 15–17°C. Traders weigh slight model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers, which could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C depending on whether clearing allows further nocturnal cooling or persistent rain maintains warmer conditions. Historical September minima average near 14°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports the market’s tight grouping at the upper end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$806Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a cool, rainy perturbation crossing northern Italy, suppressing daytime heating and yielding overnight lows near 16–18°C in Milan amid widespread cloud cover and light easterly flow. This setup, with surface pressures around 1010–1013 hPa and dew points close to air temperatures, favors radiative cooling limited by moisture and urban heat retention, keeping the daily minimum clustered around 15–17°C. Traders weigh slight model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers, which could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C depending on whether clearing allows further nocturnal cooling or persistent rain maintains warmer conditions. Historical September minima average near 14°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports the market’s tight grouping at the upper end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$806Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a cool, rainy perturbation crossing northern Italy, suppressing daytime heating and yielding overnight lows near 16–18°C in Milan amid widespread cloud cover and light easterly flow. This setup, with surface pressures around 1010–1013 hPa and dew points close to air temperatures, favors radiative cooling limited by moisture and urban heat retention, keeping the daily minimum clustered around 15–17°C. Traders weigh slight model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and timing of showers, which could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C depending on whether clearing allows further nocturnal cooling or persistent rain maintains warmer conditions. Historical September minima average near 14°C, but the current synoptic pattern supports the market’s tight grouping at the upper end of that range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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