Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national agencies project Munich's overnight low on September 25 near 5–7°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting radiative cooling after a daytime high around 17°C. This aligns with recent stable high-pressure patterns and below-average temperatures for late September, though still well above the historical record low of -1.9°C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between sub-zero and 9°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor timing shifts in the 48-hour window, with 4–6°C bins attracting the strongest specific interest as the most probable range based on ensemble guidance. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 25?
-1°C or below 100%
9°C or higher 100%
1°C 40%
2°C 40%
-1°C or below
100%
0°C
39%
1°C
40%
2°C
40%
3°C
40%
4°C
39%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C or higher
100%
-1°C or below 100%
9°C or higher 100%
1°C 40%
2°C 40%
-1°C or below
100%
0°C
39%
1°C
40%
2°C
40%
3°C
40%
4°C
39%
5°C
39%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national agencies project Munich's overnight low on September 25 near 5–7°C under mostly clear skies and light winds, supporting radiative cooling after a daytime high around 17°C. This aligns with recent stable high-pressure patterns and below-average temperatures for late September, though still well above the historical record low of -1.9°C. Trader consensus splitting evenly between sub-zero and 9°C+ outcomes reflects model sensitivity to exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and minor timing shifts in the 48-hour window, with 4–6°C bins attracting the strongest specific interest as the most probable range based on ensemble guidance. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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