Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD-MOS projects overnight lows near 13–15°C in Paris on September 12 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, favoring radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This places the minimum modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8°C yet below recent warmer analogs. The tight spread between the market’s leading 12°C and 13°C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture. With no incoming fronts or significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, trader sentiment centers on these subtle forecast nuances rather than dramatic shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 12?
13°C 41%
12°C 25%
11°C 24%
15°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
3%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
24%
12°C
25%
13°C
41%
14°C
15%
15°C
18%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 41%
12°C 25%
11°C 24%
15°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Wol.
3%
9°C
$0 Wol.
2%
10°C
$0 Wol.
2%
11°C
$799 Wol.
24%
12°C
$1,015 Wol.
25%
13°C
$3,112 Wol.
41%
14°C
$509 Wol.
15%
15°C
$0 Wol.
18%
16°C
$0 Wol.
3%
17°C
$0 Wol.
2%
18°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD-MOS projects overnight lows near 13–15°C in Paris on September 12 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, favoring radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This places the minimum modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8°C yet below recent warmer analogs. The tight spread between the market’s leading 12°C and 13°C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture. With no incoming fronts or significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, trader sentiment centers on these subtle forecast nuances rather than dramatic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,435Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD-MOS projects overnight lows near 13–15°C in Paris on September 12 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, favoring radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This places the minimum modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8°C yet below recent warmer analogs. The tight spread between the market’s leading 12°C and 13°C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture. With no incoming fronts or significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, trader sentiment centers on these subtle forecast nuances rather than dramatic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,435Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD-MOS projects overnight lows near 13–15°C in Paris on September 12 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, favoring radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This places the minimum modestly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 11.8°C yet below recent warmer analogs. The tight spread between the market’s leading 12°C and 13°C outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in exact minimum timing, urban heat-island effects, and minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture. With no incoming fronts or significant synoptic changes expected before resolution, trader sentiment centers on these subtle forecast nuances rather than dramatic shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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