Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show a stable anticyclone over western Europe, with light winds and partly clear skies favoring moderate radiative cooling for Paris overnight into September 13. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13–15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 51 % for 14 °C and 27 % for 15 °C. Historical September climatology places average lows near 14 °C, and current model consensus shows limited spread, though any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the ridge could nudge readings toward 13 °C or 16 °C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
14°C 31%
15°C 29%
13°C 24%
17°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
9°C or below
8%
10°C
16%
11°C
16%
12°C
8%
13°C
24%
14°C
31%
15°C
39%
16°C
11%
17°C
19%
18°C
14%
19°C or higher
7%
14°C 31%
15°C 29%
13°C 24%
17°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Wol.
8%
10°C
$0 Wol.
16%
11°C
$0 Wol.
16%
12°C
$351 Wol.
8%
13°C
$475 Wol.
24%
14°C
$681 Wol.
31%
15°C
$344 Wol.
39%
16°C
$73 Wol.
11%
17°C
$0 Wol.
19%
18°C
$0 Wol.
14%
19°C or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show a stable anticyclone over western Europe, with light winds and partly clear skies favoring moderate radiative cooling for Paris overnight into September 13. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13–15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 51 % for 14 °C and 27 % for 15 °C. Historical September climatology places average lows near 14 °C, and current model consensus shows limited spread, though any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the ridge could nudge readings toward 13 °C or 16 °C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,924Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show a stable anticyclone over western Europe, with light winds and partly clear skies favoring moderate radiative cooling for Paris overnight into September 13. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13–15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 51 % for 14 °C and 27 % for 15 °C. Historical September climatology places average lows near 14 °C, and current model consensus shows limited spread, though any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the ridge could nudge readings toward 13 °C or 16 °C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,924Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models show a stable anticyclone over western Europe, with light winds and partly clear skies favoring moderate radiative cooling for Paris overnight into September 13. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustering around 13–15 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 51 % for 14 °C and 27 % for 15 °C. Historical September climatology places average lows near 14 °C, and current model consensus shows limited spread, though any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the ridge could nudge readings toward 13 °C or 16 °C. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will provide the final inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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