Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Incheon International Airport station—the official measurement site—confirm Seoul's morning minimum temperature on April 25, 2026, reached exactly 9°C under clear skies and light southerly winds that facilitated standard radiational cooling overnight. This aligns precisely with converged short-term forecast models projecting lows of 9–11°C amid dominant high pressure and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which tempers deeper chills typical of late April climatology (historical morning minima averaging 8–10°C). Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 9°C reflects this verified data and rapid daytime warming to around 20°C, leaving scant room for revision. An anomalous late-night cold surge from shifting winds could challenge it, though stable model ensembles deem this highly unlikely as the daily low window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul on April 25?
9°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$35,926 Wol.
$35,926 Wol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$35,926 Wol.
$35,926 Wol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations from Incheon International Airport station—the official measurement site—confirm Seoul's morning minimum temperature on April 25, 2026, reached exactly 9°C under clear skies and light southerly winds that facilitated standard radiational cooling overnight. This aligns precisely with converged short-term forecast models projecting lows of 9–11°C amid dominant high pressure and Seoul's urban heat island effect, which tempers deeper chills typical of late April climatology (historical morning minima averaging 8–10°C). Trader consensus at nearly 100% implied probability for 9°C reflects this verified data and rapid daytime warming to around 20°C, leaving scant room for revision. An anomalous late-night cold surge from shifting winds could challenge it, though stable model ensembles deem this highly unlikely as the daily low window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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