Forecast models and observational data from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum of 18°C in the Incheon-Seoul region on September 12, driven by persistent overcast skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, light northeasterly winds, and dew points near 15–17°C. These conditions align with typical early-autumn climatology for the area, where highs reach 24–26°C before gradual evening decline. Market-implied odds above 97% for 18°C reflect strong consensus across ensemble runs with limited spread. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing overnight or an unanticipated cold-air advection not currently signaled in guidance, though both appear improbable given stable high pressure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 12?
18°C 99%
17°C 2%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99%
17°C 2%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 12, 2026
13°C or below
$259 Wol.
1%
14°C
$56 Wol.
1%
15°C
$56 Wol.
1%
16°C
$155 Wol.
1%
17°C
$1,785 Wol.
2%
18°C
$2,159 Wol.
99%
19°C
$2,790 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$393 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$251 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$287 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$259 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum of 18°C in the Incheon-Seoul region on September 12, driven by persistent overcast skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, light northeasterly winds, and dew points near 15–17°C. These conditions align with typical early-autumn climatology for the area, where highs reach 24–26°C before gradual evening decline. Market-implied odds above 97% for 18°C reflect strong consensus across ensemble runs with limited spread. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing overnight or an unanticipated cold-air advection not currently signaled in guidance, though both appear improbable given stable high pressure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,449Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum of 18°C in the Incheon-Seoul region on September 12, driven by persistent overcast skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, light northeasterly winds, and dew points near 15–17°C. These conditions align with typical early-autumn climatology for the area, where highs reach 24–26°C before gradual evening decline. Market-implied odds above 97% for 18°C reflect strong consensus across ensemble runs with limited spread. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing overnight or an unanticipated cold-air advection not currently signaled in guidance, though both appear improbable given stable high pressure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,449Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and observational data from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum of 18°C in the Incheon-Seoul region on September 12, driven by persistent overcast skies that limit nocturnal radiative cooling, light northeasterly winds, and dew points near 15–17°C. These conditions align with typical early-autumn climatology for the area, where highs reach 24–26°C before gradual evening decline. Market-implied odds above 97% for 18°C reflect strong consensus across ensemble runs with limited spread. A realistic challenge would require rapid clearing overnight or an unanticipated cold-air advection not currently signaled in guidance, though both appear improbable given stable high pressure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania