Current forecasts from official models and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Incheon on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling and light variable winds under a stable high-pressure regime. These conditions reduce the typical temperature drop after sunset compared to clear-sky scenarios, keeping overnight lows above the September climatological minimum of roughly 17°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–20°C, with traders weighting the latest ensemble runs that show limited further cooling before dawn. Updated guidance from the next model cycle could shift resolution probabilities if clearer skies develop.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 13?
20°C 39%
19°C 33%
18°C 22%
21°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
22%
19°C
33%
20°C
39%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 39%
19°C 33%
18°C 22%
21°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
16°C or below
$31 Wol.
4%
17°C
$154 Wol.
5%
18°C
$167 Wol.
22%
19°C
$149 Wol.
33%
20°C
$857 Wol.
39%
21°C
$1,074 Wol.
6%
22°C
$94 Wol.
5%
23°C
$63 Wol.
1%
24°C
$485 Wol.
1%
25°C
$469 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$332 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official models and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Incheon on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling and light variable winds under a stable high-pressure regime. These conditions reduce the typical temperature drop after sunset compared to clear-sky scenarios, keeping overnight lows above the September climatological minimum of roughly 17°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–20°C, with traders weighting the latest ensemble runs that show limited further cooling before dawn. Updated guidance from the next model cycle could shift resolution probabilities if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,874Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from official models and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Incheon on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling and light variable winds under a stable high-pressure regime. These conditions reduce the typical temperature drop after sunset compared to clear-sky scenarios, keeping overnight lows above the September climatological minimum of roughly 17°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–20°C, with traders weighting the latest ensemble runs that show limited further cooling before dawn. Updated guidance from the next model cycle could shift resolution probabilities if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,874Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from official models and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature near 19–20°C for Incheon on September 13, driven by persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling and light variable winds under a stable high-pressure regime. These conditions reduce the typical temperature drop after sunset compared to clear-sky scenarios, keeping overnight lows above the September climatological minimum of roughly 17°C. Minor model differences in cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18–20°C, with traders weighting the latest ensemble runs that show limited further cooling before dawn. Updated guidance from the next model cycle could shift resolution probabilities if clearer skies develop.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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