**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 19°C minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 9, 2026, reflecting strong convergence among official forecasts and observational data.** Recent KMA analyses and international model runs show an overnight low near 19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with daytime highs reaching 26–27°C before cooling resumes after sunset. This aligns with the arrival of slightly cooler air from the north, producing minimums consistent with recent daily reports of 18–20°C in the region. Trader consensus incorporates the high reliability of these short-range forecasts near resolution, though modest uncertainty remains from potential variations in local wind or cloud cover that could shift the exact low by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$26,165 Wol.
$26,165 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$26,165 Wol.
$26,165 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
13°C or below
$563 Wol.
No
14°C
$1,672 Wol.
No
15°C
$2,104 Wol.
No
16°C
$316 Wol.
No
17°C
$892 Wol.
No
18°C
$3,403 Wol.
No
19°C
$5,965 Wol.
Yes
20°C
$8,851 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,715 Wol.
No
22°C
$160 Wol.
No
23°C or higher
$523 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 19°C minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 9, 2026, reflecting strong convergence among official forecasts and observational data.** Recent KMA analyses and international model runs show an overnight low near 19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with daytime highs reaching 26–27°C before cooling resumes after sunset. This aligns with the arrival of slightly cooler air from the north, producing minimums consistent with recent daily reports of 18–20°C in the region. Trader consensus incorporates the high reliability of these short-range forecasts near resolution, though modest uncertainty remains from potential variations in local wind or cloud cover that could shift the exact low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,165Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 19°C minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 9, 2026, reflecting strong convergence among official forecasts and observational data.** Recent KMA analyses and international model runs show an overnight low near 19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with daytime highs reaching 26–27°C before cooling resumes after sunset. This aligns with the arrival of slightly cooler air from the north, producing minimums consistent with recent daily reports of 18–20°C in the region. Trader consensus incorporates the high reliability of these short-range forecasts near resolution, though modest uncertainty remains from potential variations in local wind or cloud cover that could shift the exact low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$26,165Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 19°C minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 9, 2026, reflecting strong convergence among official forecasts and observational data.** Recent KMA analyses and international model runs show an overnight low near 19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with daytime highs reaching 26–27°C before cooling resumes after sunset. This aligns with the arrival of slightly cooler air from the north, producing minimums consistent with recent daily reports of 18–20°C in the region. Trader consensus incorporates the high reliability of these short-range forecasts near resolution, though modest uncertainty remains from potential variations in local wind or cloud cover that could shift the exact low by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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