Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and northeasterly flow have kept Shanghai's overnight minimum near 28°C on August 27, matching the 97.5% market-implied probability. Multiple forecast models and official guidance consistently project a low of 28°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered light rain, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where minima rarely dip below this threshold without a stronger frontal passage. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in current numerical weather predictions, with resolution hinging on verified station observations. Only an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually clear, calm conditions overnight could realistically push the minimum to 27°C or lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 27?
28°C 97%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,570 Wol.
$19,570 Wol.
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
97%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 97%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,570 Wol.
$19,570 Wol.
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$856 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$258 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$310 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$613 Wol.
1%
27°C
$2,684 Wol.
1%
28°C
$4,144 Wol.
97%
29°C
$7,952 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,099 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,099 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$327 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$228 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and northeasterly flow have kept Shanghai's overnight minimum near 28°C on August 27, matching the 97.5% market-implied probability. Multiple forecast models and official guidance consistently project a low of 28°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered light rain, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where minima rarely dip below this threshold without a stronger frontal passage. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in current numerical weather predictions, with resolution hinging on verified station observations. Only an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually clear, calm conditions overnight could realistically push the minimum to 27°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,570Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and northeasterly flow have kept Shanghai's overnight minimum near 28°C on August 27, matching the 97.5% market-implied probability. Multiple forecast models and official guidance consistently project a low of 28°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered light rain, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where minima rarely dip below this threshold without a stronger frontal passage. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in current numerical weather predictions, with resolution hinging on verified station observations. Only an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually clear, calm conditions overnight could realistically push the minimum to 27°C or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$19,570Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical monsoon conditions and northeasterly flow have kept Shanghai's overnight minimum near 28°C on August 27, matching the 97.5% market-implied probability. Multiple forecast models and official guidance consistently project a low of 28°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered light rain, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling, consistent with late-summer climatology where minima rarely dip below this threshold without a stronger frontal passage. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in current numerical weather predictions, with resolution hinging on verified station observations. Only an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually clear, calm conditions overnight could realistically push the minimum to 27°C or lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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