Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 31 will likely settle near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and moderate humidity around 70–80%. Persistent late-summer subtropical conditions, including urban heat retention and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, have kept recent minimums in the 26–28°C range, supporting the market's concentration on these values. Model consensus shows no strong frontal passage or typhoon influence expected before month-end, though scattered showers could slightly enhance mixing and cap the drop. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 31?
27°C 45%
26°C 31%
28°C 22%
25°C 21%
22°C or below
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
16%
25°C
21%
26°C
31%
27°C
45%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
16%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
15%
27°C 45%
26°C 31%
28°C 22%
25°C 21%
22°C or below
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
16%
25°C
21%
26°C
31%
27°C
45%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
16%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 31 will likely settle near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and moderate humidity around 70–80%. Persistent late-summer subtropical conditions, including urban heat retention and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, have kept recent minimums in the 26–28°C range, supporting the market's concentration on these values. Model consensus shows no strong frontal passage or typhoon influence expected before month-end, though scattered showers could slightly enhance mixing and cap the drop. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania