Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 25–26°C overnight in Tel Aviv amid clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure maintaining mild conditions. Sea-surface temperatures near 31°C and moderate humidity limit radiative cooling, consistent with September climatology where overnight lows typically range 23–26°C. Current observations show temperatures holding above 25°C into the evening with minimal cloud cover, supporting trader consensus around the 26°C outcome at 68.5% implied probability. Any shift would require updated model runs or localized urban heat effects altering the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 8?
26°C 99.5%
25°C 8%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$4,007 Wol.
$4,007 Wol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 99.5%
25°C 8%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$4,007 Wol.
$4,007 Wol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF, aligned with Israeli Meteorological Service guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 25–26°C overnight in Tel Aviv amid clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure maintaining mild conditions. Sea-surface temperatures near 31°C and moderate humidity limit radiative cooling, consistent with September climatology where overnight lows typically range 23–26°C. Current observations show temperatures holding above 25°C into the evening with minimal cloud cover, supporting trader consensus around the 26°C outcome at 68.5% implied probability. Any shift would require updated model runs or localized urban heat effects altering the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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