Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 12 delivered a landslide defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party, with opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza securing a two-thirds supermajority amid 79% turnout—the highest in decades—driven by voter frustration over corruption and economic woes. Orbán promptly conceded, ending his 16-year tenure as prime minister, and Magyar is negotiating to form a new government by mid-May, per talks with President Sulyok. Traders' near-unanimous 99.2% "Yes" probability reflects this irreversible shift under Hungary's electoral system, where the president's role is ceremonial. Only extraordinary scenarios like failed coalition negotiations, court challenges to results, or health events could theoretically delay his exit by year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
$165,512 Wol.
$165,512 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$165,512 Wol.
$165,512 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 12 delivered a landslide defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party, with opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza securing a two-thirds supermajority amid 79% turnout—the highest in decades—driven by voter frustration over corruption and economic woes. Orbán promptly conceded, ending his 16-year tenure as prime minister, and Magyar is negotiating to form a new government by mid-May, per talks with President Sulyok. Traders' near-unanimous 99.2% "Yes" probability reflects this irreversible shift under Hungary's electoral system, where the president's role is ceremonial. Only extraordinary scenarios like failed coalition negotiations, court challenges to results, or health events could theoretically delay his exit by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$165,512Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 12 delivered a landslide defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party, with opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza securing a two-thirds supermajority amid 79% turnout—the highest in decades—driven by voter frustration over corruption and economic woes. Orbán promptly conceded, ending his 16-year tenure as prime minister, and Magyar is negotiating to form a new government by mid-May, per talks with President Sulyok. Traders' near-unanimous 99.2% "Yes" probability reflects this irreversible shift under Hungary's electoral system, where the president's role is ceremonial. Only extraordinary scenarios like failed coalition negotiations, court challenges to results, or health events could theoretically delay his exit by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$165,512Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hungarian parliamentary elections on April 12 delivered a landslide defeat to Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party, with opposition leader Péter Magyar's Tisza securing a two-thirds supermajority amid 79% turnout—the highest in decades—driven by voter frustration over corruption and economic woes. Orbán promptly conceded, ending his 16-year tenure as prime minister, and Magyar is negotiating to form a new government by mid-May, per talks with President Sulyok. Traders' near-unanimous 99.2% "Yes" probability reflects this irreversible shift under Hungary's electoral system, where the president's role is ceremonial. Only extraordinary scenarios like failed coalition negotiations, court challenges to results, or health events could theoretically delay his exit by year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania