Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power, with Orbán conceding defeat that night and relinquishing his parliamentary seat on April 25. Magyar was sworn in as prime minister today, May 9, formalizing the transition and confirming Orbán's exit from the premiership well before the December 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% Yes reflects this irreversible shift, driven by voter backlash against Fidesz amid economic woes and EU tensions. While Tisza's two-thirds National Assembly majority ensures stability, remote scenarios like successful constitutional challenges or snap no-confidence votes could theoretically alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoViktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
$239,927 Wol.
$239,927 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$239,927 Wol.
$239,927 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power, with Orbán conceding defeat that night and relinquishing his parliamentary seat on April 25. Magyar was sworn in as prime minister today, May 9, formalizing the transition and confirming Orbán's exit from the premiership well before the December 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% Yes reflects this irreversible shift, driven by voter backlash against Fidesz amid economic woes and EU tensions. While Tisza's two-thirds National Assembly majority ensures stability, remote scenarios like successful constitutional challenges or snap no-confidence votes could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$239,927Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power, with Orbán conceding defeat that night and relinquishing his parliamentary seat on April 25. Magyar was sworn in as prime minister today, May 9, formalizing the transition and confirming Orbán's exit from the premiership well before the December 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% Yes reflects this irreversible shift, driven by voter backlash against Fidesz amid economic woes and EU tensions. While Tisza's two-thirds National Assembly majority ensures stability, remote scenarios like successful constitutional challenges or snap no-confidence votes could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Viktor Orbán ceases to be Prime Minister of Hungary for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Viktor Orbán's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Viktor Orbán and the government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$239,927Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Péter Magyar's Tisza party secured a supermajority in Hungary's April 12, 2026, parliamentary election, ousting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz after 16 years in power, with Orbán conceding defeat that night and relinquishing his parliamentary seat on April 25. Magyar was sworn in as prime minister today, May 9, formalizing the transition and confirming Orbán's exit from the premiership well before the December 31 deadline. Trader consensus at 100% Yes reflects this irreversible shift, driven by voter backlash against Fidesz amid economic woes and EU tensions. While Tisza's two-thirds National Assembly majority ensures stability, remote scenarios like successful constitutional challenges or snap no-confidence votes could theoretically alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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