Florida's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Aaron Bean faces limited Democratic opposition in an area with consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district's partisan composition and the effects of Florida's newly enacted congressional map. That map, passed by the state legislature and signed in early May 2026, is projected to expand the state's overall Republican advantage. With primaries scheduled for August, early candidate filings show Bean seeking renomination against a single primary challenger while multiple Democrats compete in their primary, underscoring the absence of a high-profile general-election contest. These structural factors align with current trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee a substantial probability of victory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-04 Vencedor da eleição da casa
FL-04 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$11,912 Vol.
$11,912 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
79%
Partido Democrata
19%
$11,912 Vol.
$11,912 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,745 Vol.
79%
Partido Democrata
$5,167 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Aaron Bean faces limited Democratic opposition in an area with consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district's partisan composition and the effects of Florida's newly enacted congressional map. That map, passed by the state legislature and signed in early May 2026, is projected to expand the state's overall Republican advantage. With primaries scheduled for August, early candidate filings show Bean seeking renomination against a single primary challenger while multiple Democrats compete in their primary, underscoring the absence of a high-profile general-election contest. These structural factors align with current trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee a substantial probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$11,912Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Aaron Bean faces limited Democratic opposition in an area with consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district's partisan composition and the effects of Florida's newly enacted congressional map. That map, passed by the state legislature and signed in early May 2026, is projected to expand the state's overall Republican advantage. With primaries scheduled for August, early candidate filings show Bean seeking renomination against a single primary challenger while multiple Democrats compete in their primary, underscoring the absence of a high-profile general-election contest. These structural factors align with current trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee a substantial probability of victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,912Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Aaron Bean faces limited Democratic opposition in an area with consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district's partisan composition and the effects of Florida's newly enacted congressional map. That map, passed by the state legislature and signed in early May 2026, is projected to expand the state's overall Republican advantage. With primaries scheduled for August, early candidate filings show Bean seeking renomination against a single primary challenger while multiple Democrats compete in their primary, underscoring the absence of a high-profile general-election contest. These structural factors align with current trader pricing that assigns the Republican nominee a substantial probability of victory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions