Republican nominee Ryan Elijah holds a clear edge in Florida’s 7th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in trader pricing. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Likely Republican. Elijah secured the nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics scrutiny and polling deficits. Democrat Bale Dalton advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended Republican since redistricting. The 67.5% Republican probability captures the district’s baseline tilt and the absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the balance before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFL-07 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
FL-07 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$25,114 Vol.
$25,114 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
68%
Partido Democrata
33%
$25,114 Vol.
$25,114 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$14,454 Vol.
68%
Partido Democrata
$10,660 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Ryan Elijah holds a clear edge in Florida’s 7th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in trader pricing. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Likely Republican. Elijah secured the nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics scrutiny and polling deficits. Democrat Bale Dalton advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended Republican since redistricting. The 67.5% Republican probability captures the district’s baseline tilt and the absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$25,114Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Ryan Elijah holds a clear edge in Florida’s 7th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in trader pricing. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Likely Republican. Elijah secured the nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics scrutiny and polling deficits. Democrat Bale Dalton advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended Republican since redistricting. The 67.5% Republican probability captures the district’s baseline tilt and the absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,114Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Ryan Elijah holds a clear edge in Florida’s 7th congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in trader pricing. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index, and nonpartisan forecasters rate it Likely Republican. Elijah secured the nomination in the August 18 primary by defeating incumbent Cory Mills amid ethics scrutiny and polling deficits. Democrat Bale Dalton advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has trended Republican since redistricting. The 67.5% Republican probability captures the district’s baseline tilt and the absence of major late-cycle shifts that would alter the balance before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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