Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short- and medium-range forecasts project Busan's highest temperature at Gimhae International Airport—the market's resolution station—at 20°C on April 12, driving trader consensus toward 19–21°C outcomes amid a post-cold-snap warmup. Mostly cloudy conditions with 10–20% precipitation probability and light easterly winds limit solar heating potential, while global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles cluster means around 19.5–20.5°C, explaining the razor-thin spread between 19°C (34.5%) and 20°C (35.5%). Inherent short-range uncertainty from cloud variability and frontal timing persists; watch KMA's final afternoon update on April 11 and real-time observations during peak heating hours for potential shifts. Historical early-April highs in Busan average 17–20°C, aligning with current positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 12?
20°C 40%
19°C 37%
21°C 29%
18°C 10%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
39%
20°C
41%
21°C
26%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
20°C 40%
19°C 37%
21°C 29%
18°C 10%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
10%
19°C
39%
20°C
41%
21°C
26%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short- and medium-range forecasts project Busan's highest temperature at Gimhae International Airport—the market's resolution station—at 20°C on April 12, driving trader consensus toward 19–21°C outcomes amid a post-cold-snap warmup. Mostly cloudy conditions with 10–20% precipitation probability and light easterly winds limit solar heating potential, while global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles cluster means around 19.5–20.5°C, explaining the razor-thin spread between 19°C (34.5%) and 20°C (35.5%). Inherent short-range uncertainty from cloud variability and frontal timing persists; watch KMA's final afternoon update on April 11 and real-time observations during peak heating hours for potential shifts. Historical early-April highs in Busan average 17–20°C, aligning with current positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions