Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and national meteorological agencies indicate a high of 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 15 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph and minimal precipitation risk. This autumnal pattern, typical for mid-September climatology with average highs near 24°C, aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 23°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or wind shifts could favor 24°C; cooler outcomes would require unexpected cloud cover or advection changes not currently signaled in short-range guidance. Updated NHC-equivalent regional briefings and afternoon model runs on the 14th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 15 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 15 de setembro?
23°C 60%
22°C 26%
24°C 11%
21°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
18°C ou menos
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
26%
23°C
60%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C ou mais
1%
23°C 60%
22°C 26%
24°C 11%
21°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
18°C ou menos
$308 Vol.
1%
19°C
$46 Vol.
1%
20°C
$110 Vol.
2%
21°C
$36 Vol.
4%
22°C
$135 Vol.
26%
23°C
$377 Vol.
60%
24°C
$104 Vol.
11%
25°C
$86 Vol.
3%
26°C
$178 Vol.
1%
27°C
$30 Vol.
1%
28°C ou mais
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and national meteorological agencies indicate a high of 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 15 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph and minimal precipitation risk. This autumnal pattern, typical for mid-September climatology with average highs near 24°C, aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 23°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or wind shifts could favor 24°C; cooler outcomes would require unexpected cloud cover or advection changes not currently signaled in short-range guidance. Updated NHC-equivalent regional briefings and afternoon model runs on the 14th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$1,470Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and national meteorological agencies indicate a high of 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 15 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph and minimal precipitation risk. This autumnal pattern, typical for mid-September climatology with average highs near 24°C, aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 23°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or wind shifts could favor 24°C; cooler outcomes would require unexpected cloud cover or advection changes not currently signaled in short-range guidance. Updated NHC-equivalent regional briefings and afternoon model runs on the 14th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,470Data de Término
15 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including GFS model runs and national meteorological agencies indicate a high of 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 15 under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies with northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph and minimal precipitation risk. This autumnal pattern, typical for mid-September climatology with average highs near 24°C, aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 23°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or wind shifts could favor 24°C; cooler outcomes would require unexpected cloud cover or advection changes not currently signaled in short-range guidance. Updated NHC-equivalent regional briefings and afternoon model runs on the 14th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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