Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's tropical monsoon climate, with BMKG's latest hourly forecast for Halim Perdanakusuma station—Jakarta's key measurement site—projecting peaks near 30°C under berawan (cloudy) conditions and rain risks from mid-morning, capping solar heating. Yet AccuWeather models imply a 33°C high amid possible afternoon thunderstorms, fueling the split favoring 34°C or higher at 47% over 33°C at 41.5%. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing daytime maxima versus brief sunny breaks enabling rapid intensification, compounded by urban heat island effects in densely built areas and high humidity near 80%. Historical April averages hover at 32°C per BMKG data, with recent years seeing extremes above 35°C; intraday observations will clarify resolution by evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 11?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 11?
34°C or higher 50%
33°C 37%
32°C 13%
26°C <1%
$16,116 Vol.
$16,116 Vol.
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
13%
33°C
37%
34°C or higher
50%
34°C or higher 50%
33°C 37%
32°C 13%
26°C <1%
$16,116 Vol.
$16,116 Vol.
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
13%
33°C
37%
34°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Janela de disputa
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Jakarta's tropical monsoon climate, with BMKG's latest hourly forecast for Halim Perdanakusuma station—Jakarta's key measurement site—projecting peaks near 30°C under berawan (cloudy) conditions and rain risks from mid-morning, capping solar heating. Yet AccuWeather models imply a 33°C high amid possible afternoon thunderstorms, fueling the split favoring 34°C or higher at 47% over 33°C at 41.5%. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing daytime maxima versus brief sunny breaks enabling rapid intensification, compounded by urban heat island effects in densely built areas and high humidity near 80%. Historical April averages hover at 32°C per BMKG data, with recent years seeing extremes above 35°C; intraday observations will clarify resolution by evening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions