Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 72-73°F at 33.5% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature today, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts projecting daytime highs near 72°F under mostly sunny skies following partial marine layer burn-off. This positioning reflects April climatological normals of 71°F at downtown Los Angeles amid a shallow stratiform cloud deck advected onshore overnight, tempered by yesterday's cooler high of 67°F. Emerging Santa Ana winds, with NWS advisories for gusts to 60 mph today, introduce warming via downslope föhn effects and enhanced ventilation, elevating odds for 74-75°F (23%) and 78°F+ (12.8%) if offshore flow strengthens pre-noon. Key uncertainties include marine layer persistence suppressing peaks to 70-71°F (16.5%), model spread on boundary layer decoupling, and urban heat island amplification; afternoon observations from LAX and downtown stations will clarify as peak heating nears 2-4 PM PDT.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 13.2%
$37,485 Vol.
$37,485 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
13%
78°F or higher
11%
72-73°F 37%
74-75°F 22%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 13.2%
$37,485 Vol.
$37,485 Vol.
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
37%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
13%
78°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 72-73°F at 33.5% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature today, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts projecting daytime highs near 72°F under mostly sunny skies following partial marine layer burn-off. This positioning reflects April climatological normals of 71°F at downtown Los Angeles amid a shallow stratiform cloud deck advected onshore overnight, tempered by yesterday's cooler high of 67°F. Emerging Santa Ana winds, with NWS advisories for gusts to 60 mph today, introduce warming via downslope föhn effects and enhanced ventilation, elevating odds for 74-75°F (23%) and 78°F+ (12.8%) if offshore flow strengthens pre-noon. Key uncertainties include marine layer persistence suppressing peaks to 70-71°F (16.5%), model spread on boundary layer decoupling, and urban heat island amplification; afternoon observations from LAX and downtown stations will clarify as peak heating nears 2-4 PM PDT.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions