India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow on March 29 under mainly clear skies at Lucknow Airport, aligning with trader consensus where 35°C and 36°C each hold 29.5% implied probability, just ahead of 34°C or below at 29%. This tight clustering stems from uncertainty introduced by an approaching western disturbance bringing peak wet spell activity over northwest India on March 29-30, potentially increasing cloud cover and thunderstorms that could reduce solar insolation and cap highs nearer 34°C. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with historical March maxima in Lucknow averaging 32-34°C amid dry conditions, but gusty winds and partial clouding add variability; updated IMD bulletins expected by evening could refine guidance ahead of resolution via official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 29 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Lucknow em 29 de março?
35°C 30%
36°C 30%
34°C ou menos 29%
37°C 8%
$29,579 Vol.
$29,579 Vol.
34°C ou menos
29%
35°C
30%
36°C
30%
37°C
8%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C ou mais
<1%
35°C 30%
36°C 30%
34°C ou menos 29%
37°C 8%
$29,579 Vol.
$29,579 Vol.
34°C ou menos
29%
35°C
30%
36°C
30%
37°C
8%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C for Lucknow on March 29 under mainly clear skies at Lucknow Airport, aligning with trader consensus where 35°C and 36°C each hold 29.5% implied probability, just ahead of 34°C or below at 29%. This tight clustering stems from uncertainty introduced by an approaching western disturbance bringing peak wet spell activity over northwest India on March 29-30, potentially increasing cloud cover and thunderstorms that could reduce solar insolation and cap highs nearer 34°C. Recent model runs show minimal divergence, with historical March maxima in Lucknow averaging 32-34°C amid dry conditions, but gusty winds and partial clouding add variability; updated IMD bulletins expected by evening could refine guidance ahead of resolution via official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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