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Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de março?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de março?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

72-73°F 31%

74°F ou mais 28%

70-71°F 12.3%

68-69°F 10.0%

Polymarket
NEW

72-73°F 31%

74°F ou mais 28%

70-71°F 12.3%

68-69°F 10.0%

Polymarket
NEW

55°F ou menos

$767 Vol.

1%

56-57°F

$1,458 Vol.

3%

58-59°F

$638 Vol.

3%

60-61°F

$542 Vol.

2%

62-63°F

$273 Vol.

8%

64-65°F

$212 Vol.

6%

66-67°F

$202 Vol.

6%

68-69°F

$553 Vol.

10%

70-71°F

$1,068 Vol.

21%

72-73°F

$1,774 Vol.

31%

74°F ou mais

$2,028 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a roughly 70% chance of NYC's March 31 high temperature reaching 72°F or above, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly flow into the Northeast. Current outlooks pinpoint peak highs around 72-75°F during afternoon hours, well above the late-March climatological average of 52°F, fueled by above-normal upper-air temperatures and minimal cloud cover. Yesterday's 12Z model runs reinforced this warming signal with little divergence, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains as new observations from Central Park could prompt adjustments. Watch for this afternoon's updated guidance ahead of the event.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,514
Data de Término
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a roughly 70% chance of NYC's March 31 high temperature reaching 72°F or above, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly flow into the Northeast. Current outlooks pinpoint peak highs around 72-75°F during afternoon hours, well above the late-March climatological average of 52°F, fueled by above-normal upper-air temperatures and minimal cloud cover. Yesterday's 12Z model runs reinforced this warming signal with little divergence, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains as new observations from Central Park could prompt adjustments. Watch for this afternoon's updated guidance ahead of the event.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a roughly 70% chance of NYC's March 31 high temperature reaching 72°F or above, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF showing a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering warm southerly flow into the Northeast. Current outlooks pinpoint peak highs around 72-75°F during afternoon hours, well above the late-March climatological average of 52°F, fueled by above-normal upper-air temperatures and minimal cloud cover. Yesterday's 12Z model runs reinforced this warming signal with little divergence, though inherent forecast uncertainty remains as new observations from Central Park could prompt adjustments. Watch for this afternoon's updated guidance ahead of the event.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "74°F ou mais" at 42%, followed by "72-73°F" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de março?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de março?" is "74°F ou mais" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "72-73°F" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 31 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.