Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 21-22°C highs for Beijing on March 27, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 20-23°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge funneling southerly winds from the Pacific. This setup elevates temperatures 6-8°C above the late-March historical average of 13-15°C, amplified by Beijing's urban heat island effect at the official observation station. Differentiating factors include model spread on peak afternoon heating: 21°C leads if thin high clouds moderate solar insolation, while 22°C edges up with clearer skies; 23°C fades due to potential capping inversion layers, and sub-20°C outcomes hinge on an untimely cold front surge, per NOAA and CMA updates. Uncertainty lingers in diurnal timing and microscale gusts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
Highest temperature in Beijing on March 27?
21°C 32%
22°C 30%
23°C 18%
20°C 14%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
12%
20°C
14%
21°C
28%
22°C
30%
23°C
18%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 32%
22°C 30%
23°C 18%
20°C 14%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
12%
20°C
14%
21°C
28%
22°C
30%
23°C
18%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 21-22°C highs for Beijing on March 27, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 20-23°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge funneling southerly winds from the Pacific. This setup elevates temperatures 6-8°C above the late-March historical average of 13-15°C, amplified by Beijing's urban heat island effect at the official observation station. Differentiating factors include model spread on peak afternoon heating: 21°C leads if thin high clouds moderate solar insolation, while 22°C edges up with clearer skies; 23°C fades due to potential capping inversion layers, and sub-20°C outcomes hinge on an untimely cold front surge, per NOAA and CMA updates. Uncertainty lingers in diurnal timing and microscale gusts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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