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Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

10°C 30%

9°C 27%

11°C 19%

8°C 13%

Polymarket

$69,015 Vol.

10°C 30%

9°C 27%

11°C 19%

8°C 13%

Polymarket

$69,015 Vol.

4°C or below

$24,820 Vol.

<1%

5°C

$39,533 Vol.

1%

6°C

$309 Vol.

1%

7°C

$226 Vol.

3%

8°C

$594 Vol.

13%

9°C

$493 Vol.

27%

10°C

$495 Vol.

30%

11°C

$724 Vol.

19%

12°C

$594 Vol.

10%

13°C

$461 Vol.

2%

14°C or higher

$766 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) place Ankara's highest temperature on March 29 around 9–11°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 10°C at 29.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 9°C (27%) and 11°C (20.5%). This reflects a recent cooling trend in model runs over the past 48 hours, as northerly winds and a deepening upper-level trough suppress daytime highs below the late March climatological average of 12–14°C. Short-range uncertainty persists due to variable cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, with Turkish State Meteorological Service updates expected daily through March 28 potentially refining the peak hour maximum at Ankara's Esenboğa station. Historical analogs show 2–3°C spreads common this close to resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$69,015
Data de Término
Mar 29, 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) place Ankara's highest temperature on March 29 around 9–11°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 10°C at 29.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 9°C (27%) and 11°C (20.5%). This reflects a recent cooling trend in model runs over the past 48 hours, as northerly winds and a deepening upper-level trough suppress daytime highs below the late March climatological average of 12–14°C. Short-range uncertainty persists due to variable cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, with Turkish State Meteorological Service updates expected daily through March 28 potentially refining the peak hour maximum at Ankara's Esenboğa station. Historical analogs show 2–3°C spreads common this close to resolution.

Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) place Ankara's highest temperature on March 29 around 9–11°C, driving the tight trader consensus with 10°C at 29.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 9°C (27%) and 11°C (20.5%). This reflects a recent cooling trend in model runs over the past 48 hours, as northerly winds and a deepening upper-level trough suppress daytime highs below the late March climatological average of 12–14°C. Short-range uncertainty persists due to variable cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, with Turkish State Meteorological Service updates expected daily through March 28 potentially refining the peak hour maximum at Ankara's Esenboğa station. Historical analogs show 2–3°C spreads common this close to resolution.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10°C" at 30%, followed by "9°C" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?" has generated $69K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?" is "10°C" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9°C" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Ankara on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.