Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami high of 82-83°F on March 27, driven by a persistent warm air mass from the south and light southerly winds limiting sea breeze cooling, aligning with the 28% trader consensus on that bin. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a tight spread around 81-84°F, with minor divergences from cloud cover variability and urban heat island effects pushing sentiment toward 82-83°F over the close 80-81°F rival (26%). Historical March averages hover near 80°F, but above-normal sea surface temperatures boost peaks; traders await afternoon 12z updates for resolution clarity amid low volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 31%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
84-85°F 7%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 31%
80-81°F 26%
78-79°F 26%
84-85°F 7%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts point to a Miami high of 82-83°F on March 27, driven by a persistent warm air mass from the south and light southerly winds limiting sea breeze cooling, aligning with the 28% trader consensus on that bin. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a tight spread around 81-84°F, with minor divergences from cloud cover variability and urban heat island effects pushing sentiment toward 82-83°F over the close 80-81°F rival (26%). Historical March averages hover near 80°F, but above-normal sea surface temperatures boost peaks; traders await afternoon 12z updates for resolution clarity amid low volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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