Trader consensus favors 82-83°F (35%) and 80-81°F (32%) as Miami's highest temperature on March 26, propelled by latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 81-82°F under a persistent subtropical ridge fostering southwesterly flow and ample solar insolation. The tight race hinges on sea breeze development—earlier inland penetration could cap peaks at 80-81°F via coastal cooling, while delayed onset amid low soil moisture and high pressure allows 82-83°F, aligning with NOAA historical averages of 81°F for late March. NWS Miami's hourly guidance, due midday, may refine these odds amid typical model spread of ±2°F.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 26 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami em 26 de março?
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 32%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 10%
$15,918 Vol.
$15,918 Vol.
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
17%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F ou mais
1%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 32%
84-85°F 17%
78-79°F 10%
$15,918 Vol.
$15,918 Vol.
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
17%
30-31°C
3%
88-89°F
1%
90°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 82-83°F (35%) and 80-81°F (32%) as Miami's highest temperature on March 26, propelled by latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on 81-82°F under a persistent subtropical ridge fostering southwesterly flow and ample solar insolation. The tight race hinges on sea breeze development—earlier inland penetration could cap peaks at 80-81°F via coastal cooling, while delayed onset amid low soil moisture and high pressure allows 82-83°F, aligning with NOAA historical averages of 81°F for late March. NWS Miami's hourly guidance, due midday, may refine these odds amid typical model spread of ±2°F.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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