Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow's March 28 maximum temperature near 34°C amid clear skies and low humidity boosting daytime heating via enhanced solar insolation, fueling trader sentiment with 33°C (28.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) as top implied probabilities. Historical late-March averages hover at 32-35°C, but this year's persistent dry northerly winds and minimal cloud cover differentiate outcomes, pushing odds toward the mid-30s over cooler 32°C (12%) or hotter extremes below 10%. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 1-2°C spread, reflecting short-range uncertainty from urban heat island effects and soil moisture deficits, with final observations from Lucknow's Colvin Nagar station set to resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 28?
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
35°C 20%
36°C 13%
32°C or below
12%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
7%
38°C
6%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
35°C 20%
36°C 13%
32°C or below
12%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
21%
36°C
13%
37°C
7%
38°C
6%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow's March 28 maximum temperature near 34°C amid clear skies and low humidity boosting daytime heating via enhanced solar insolation, fueling trader sentiment with 33°C (28.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) as top implied probabilities. Historical late-March averages hover at 32-35°C, but this year's persistent dry northerly winds and minimal cloud cover differentiate outcomes, pushing odds toward the mid-30s over cooler 32°C (12%) or hotter extremes below 10%. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 1-2°C spread, reflecting short-range uncertainty from urban heat island effects and soil moisture deficits, with final observations from Lucknow's Colvin Nagar station set to resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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