Trader sentiment favors 56-57°F (33.5%) over 54-55°F (30.0%) for Seattle's March 27 high, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 56°F amid a mild southerly flow and weakening marine layer. Key differentiators include potential afternoon clearing allowing greater insolation—shortwave radiation penetration—versus persistent coastal stratus capping highs at 54-55°F, as seen in model spread of 3-4°F. Historical March 27 averages hover near 54°F (Sea-Tac data), but recent analogs with similar 500mb ridge positioning support the slight warm bias. Traders eye today's 12Z model runs for resolution shifts before evening peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle em 27 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle em 27 de março?
56-57°F 34%
54-55°F 30%
52-53°F 16%
58-59°F 14%
45°F ou menos
1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
5%
64°F ou mais
2%
56-57°F 34%
54-55°F 30%
52-53°F 16%
58-59°F 14%
45°F ou menos
1%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
5%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
30%
56-57°F
34%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
5%
64°F ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 56-57°F (33.5%) over 54-55°F (30.0%) for Seattle's March 27 high, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering around 56°F amid a mild southerly flow and weakening marine layer. Key differentiators include potential afternoon clearing allowing greater insolation—shortwave radiation penetration—versus persistent coastal stratus capping highs at 54-55°F, as seen in model spread of 3-4°F. Historical March 27 averages hover near 54°F (Sea-Tac data), but recent analogs with similar 500mb ridge positioning support the slight warm bias. Traders eye today's 12Z model runs for resolution shifts before evening peak heating.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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